Fresno State vs New Mexico Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 06, 2024, 11:28 AM
  • New Mexico (17-11) is a -18.5 point favorite vs Fresno State (13-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
  • Fresno State / New Mexico TV channel: FS1

The Fresno State Bulldogs (13-15) visit The Pit to take on the New Mexico Lobos (17-11) on Mar. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 10:30pm EST in Albuquerque, NM.

New Mexico is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -18.5 (-110).

The Fresno State vs. New Mexico Over/Under is 152.5 total points.

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Fresno State vs. New Mexico Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Fresno State+18.5 -110O 152.5 -115+1150
New Mexico -18.5 -110U 152.5 -105-2500

Fresno State vs New Mexico Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts New Mexico will win this college basketball game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Fresno State vs New Mexico Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts New Mexico will cover the spread with 51.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Fresno State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • New Mexico have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • New Mexico have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+2.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+0.90 Units / 3% ROI)

Fresno State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Fresno State has a 13-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.5 Units / -11.36% ROI).

  • 9-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.55 Units / -20.13% ROI
  • 17-11 when betting the Over for +4.9 Units / 15.91% ROI
  • 11-17 when betting the Under for -7.7 Units / -25% ROI

New Mexico Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

New Mexico has a 15-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI).

  • 18-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.85 Units / -16.23% ROI
  • 17-11 when betting the Over for +4.9 Units / 15.91% ROI
  • 11-17 when betting the Under for -7.7 Units / -25% ROI

Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (298 assists/ 316 TOs) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Fresno State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (298 assists/ 316 TOs) this season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Fresno State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (680 assists/ 674 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Fresno State has 16.7 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 19.6

New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico has made 6.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.5

New Mexico has averaged 84.4 points per game (1,942 points/23 games) this season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0

New Mexico has averaged 84.4 points per game (1,942 points/23 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 75.2

New Mexico has 23.0 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.6

Fresno State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (183/492) this season — tied for 10th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Fresno State has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (410/1,097) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Fresno State has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (625/1,378) this season — tied for 3rd highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 44%

Fresno State has forced 10.7 turnovers per game (247 turnovers/23 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.5

New Mexico Defensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico has averaged 9.7 steals per game (223 steals/23 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 6.8

New Mexico has 223 steals this season — most among Mountain West Teams

New Mexico has forced 15.5 turnovers per game (357 turnovers/23 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.5

New Mexico has forced 15.5 turnovers per game (357 turnovers/23 games) this season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.