Fresno State vs San Jose State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 6

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San Jose State basketball team coach.
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 06, 2024, 11:03 AM
  • San Jose State (9-12) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Fresno State (8-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
  • Fresno State / San Jose State TV channel: ESPN+

The Fresno State Bulldogs (8-13) visit Provident Credit Union Event Center to take on the San Jose State Spartans (9-12) on Feb. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Jose, CA.

San Jose State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Fresno State vs. San Jose State Over/Under is 139.5 total points.

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Fresno State vs. San Jose State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Fresno State+2.5 -115O 139.5 -110+115
San Jose State -2.5 -105U 139.5 -110-140

Fresno State vs San Jose State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts San Jose State will win this college basketball game with 59.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Fresno State vs San Jose State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Fresno State will cover the spread with 57.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Fresno State has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • San José State has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • San José State has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.50 Units / 46% ROI)
  • San José State have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • San José State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • San José State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games at home (+1.65 Units / 7% ROI)

Fresno State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Fresno State has a 8-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.3 Units / -27.21% ROI).

  • 7-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -17.06% ROI
  • 13-8 when betting the Over for +4.2 Units / 18.18% ROI
  • 8-13 when betting the Under for -6.3 Units / -27.27% ROI

San Jose State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

San Jose State has a 8-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.25 Units / -27.12% ROI).

  • 6-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.2 Units / -35.06% ROI
  • 15-6 when betting the Over for +8.4 Units / 36.36% ROI
  • 6-15 when betting the Under for -10.5 Units / -45.45% ROI

Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State is shooting 32% from three (349/1,093) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

Fresno State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (271 assists/ 290 TOs) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Fresno State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (271 assists/ 290 TOs) this season — tied for 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Fresno State has averaged 65.7 points per game (3,418 points/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 73.3

San Jose State Offensive Stats & Trends:

San Jose State has 14.6 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 19.7

San Jose State is shooting 69% from the free throw line (573/836) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 73%

San Jose State has 14.6 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

San Jose State has made 9.1 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Fresno State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State has forced 10.8 turnovers per game (226 turnovers/21 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Fresno State has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (395/1,047) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Fresno State has averaged 24.4 defensive rebounds per game (512 rebounds/21 games) this season — 5th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.1

Fresno State has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (1,286/2,866) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 43%

San Jose State Defensive Stats & Trends:

San Jose State has forced 9.2 turnovers per game (516 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.3

San Jose State has forced 10.7 turnovers per game (225 turnovers/21 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.5

San Jose State has allowed 75.1 points per game (1,577 points/21 games) this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 69.8

San Jose State has forced 9.2 turnovers per game (516 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.