The Cleveland Guardians (+140) visit Camelback Ranch-Glendale to take on the Chicago White Sox (-165) on Monday, March 18, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Glendale, AZ.
This season, the Guardians are 7-9 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 7-13 ATS.
Guardians vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +140 |
| White Sox | -165 |
Guardians vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Monday‘s matchup with 54.7% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Myles Straw has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jose Tena has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- David Fry has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Clint Frazier has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+3.65 Units / 183% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Carlos Perez has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Adam Haseley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.25 Units / 82% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 146 games (+21.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 39 away games (+2.24 Units / 5% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.24 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Guardians are 8-8 against the Run Line (-0.38 Units / -1.87% ROI).
- 7-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.74 Units / -13.87% ROI
- 6-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.92 Units / -22.61% ROI
- 9-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.14 Units / 11.98% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the White Sox are 7-13 against the Run Line (-7.33 Units / -30.75% ROI).
- 6-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -34.06% ROI
- 7-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.94 Units / -27.14% ROI
- 12-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.4 Units / 19.9% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Bibee allowed a slugging percentage of just .270 (66 Total Bases / 244 ABs) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .426 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 24% (25/103) against Tanner Bibee on sliders in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 97th Percentile.
Tanner Bibee allowed an OPS of just .542 (270 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .746 — 98th Percentile.
Tanner Bibee allowed a slugging percentage of just .267 (35 Total Bases / 131 ABs) on elevated fastballs in the 2023 season — tied for 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .404 — 90th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Guardians are 34-114 (.230) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .129.
The Guardians were 18-57 (.240) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians were just 22-21 (.512) when they scored in the first inning in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .611.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The White Sox were just 51-8 (.864) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The White Sox were just 19-40 (.322) after a win in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The White Sox were just 45-14 (.763) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The White Sox were just 49-10 (.831) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters had an OPS of just .662 (1,910 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Guardians hitters slugged just .367 against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Guardians hitters struck out just 1,142 times in 6,096 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters slugged just .505 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .596.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters had an OPS of just .458 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .213 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
White Sox had 2,422 quality ABs out of 5,980 total (41% QAB rate) in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .289 (4,595 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed the 28th hardest ball in play hit (119.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
Guardians pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 1,682 times in the 2023 season — 5th most in MLB.
Guardians pitchers had second base stolen on them 144 times in the 2023 season — 2nd most in MLB.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against White Sox pitchers in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers walked 654 of 6,301 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers won only 19% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
White Sox vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Out
- John Brebbia (Chicago White Sox): Calf, Out
- Michael Soroka (Chicago White Sox): Forearm, Day-To-Day
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Luis Robert (Chicago White Sox): Knee, Out
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Personal, Out
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gabriel Arias (Cleveland Guardians): Wrist, Out
- Logan Allen (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
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