Houston vs UCF Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 6

Central Florida head coach Johnny Dawkins reacts to a call during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Auburn Wednesday, Dec. 1, 2021, in Auburn, Ala.
(AP Photo/Butch Dill)
  • Houston (13-14) is a -8.5 point favorite vs UCF (16-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 130.5 points
  • Houston / UCF TV channel: ESPN+

The Houston Cougars (13-14) visit Addition Financial Arena to take on the UCF Knights (16-12) on Mar. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Orlando, FL.

Houston is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Houston vs. UCF Over/Under is 130.5 total points.

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Houston vs. UCF Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Houston-8.5 -110O 130.5 -105-400
UCF +8.5 -110U 130.5 -115+310

Houston vs UCF Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Houston will win this college basketball game with 81.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Houston vs UCF Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Houston will cover the spread with 55.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Houston has hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 35 games (+18.60 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 25 games (+9.85 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Houston have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+4.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+3.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • UCF have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • UCF have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+2.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+1.20 Units / 6% ROI)

Houston Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Houston has a 14-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.3 Units / -0.94% ROI).

  • 17-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.9 Units / 9.27% ROI
  • 13-16 when betting the Over for -4.55 Units / -14.29% ROI
  • 16-13 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 5.32% ROI

UCF Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UCF has a 16-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.95 Units / 13.32% ROI).

  • 12-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.5 Units / -6.32% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting the Over for -3.35 Units / -11.22% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 3.04% ROI

Houston Offensive Stats & Trends:

Houston has averaged 14.7 offensive rebounds per game (339 rebounds/23 games) this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 11.4

Houston has averaged 14.7 offensive rebounds per game (339 rebounds/23 games) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.0

Houston has averaged 14.7 offensive rebounds per game (339 rebounds/23 games) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Houston has averaged 8.9 turnovers per game (204 turnovers/23 games) this season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

UCF Offensive Stats & Trends:

UCF is shooting 42% (945/2,253) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 45%

UCF has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (248 assists/ 263 TOs) this season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

UCF is shooting 74% from the free throw line (763/1,027) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

UCF has 218 turnovers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd fewest among AAC Teams

Houston Defensive Stats & Trends:

Houston has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (370/1,315) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Houston has allowed 56.3 points per game (3,377 points/60 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.1

Houston has averaged 10.1 steals per game (232 steals/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Houston has allowed 30.1 points per game (693 points/23 games) in the second half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35.2

UCF Defensive Stats & Trends:

UCF has 182 steals this season — 4th most among Big 12 Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.