Idaho vs Sacramento State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 5

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UCLA guard Amari Bailey, right, dribbles against Sacramento State during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game Monday, Nov. 7, 2022, in Los Angeles. (AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez)
(AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 05, 2024, 12:27 PM
  • Sacramento State (6-14) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Idaho (8-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 132.5 points
  • Idaho / Sacramento State TV channel: ESPN+

The Idaho Vandals (8-12) visit The Nest to take on the Sacramento State Hornets (6-14) on Feb. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA.

Sacramento State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Idaho vs. Sacramento State Over/Under is 132.5 total points.

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Idaho vs. Sacramento State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Idaho+4.5 -110O 132.5 -110+160
Sacramento State -4.5 -110U 132.5 -110-190

Idaho vs Sacramento State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Sacramento State will win this college basketball game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Idaho vs Sacramento State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Idaho will cover the spread with 52.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Idaho has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 away games (+5.10 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Idaho has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Idaho have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 27 games (+3.35 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Idaho has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Idaho has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+1.60 Units / 14% ROI)

Idaho Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Idaho has a 8-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.25 Units / -23.86% ROI).

  • 6-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 1.85% ROI
  • 11-8 when betting the Over for +2.2 Units / 10% ROI
  • 8-11 when betting the Under for -4.1 Units / -18.64% ROI

Sacramento State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Sacramento State has a 6-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-9.35 Units / -42.6% ROI).

  • 4-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.2 Units / -37.53% ROI
  • 8-12 when betting the Over for -5.2 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • 12-8 when betting the Under for +3.2 Units / 14.55% ROI

Idaho Offensive Stats & Trends:

Idaho has made 7.7 three-pointers per game this season — 5th lowest among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Idaho has averaged 10.5 turnovers per game (220 turnovers/21 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 11.3

Idaho is shooting 46% (1,353/2,946) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 46%

Idaho has averaged 7.2 offensive rebounds per game (152 rebounds/21 games) this season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Sacramento State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State has averaged 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (236 rebounds/21 games) this season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 8.0

Sacramento State has averaged 10.2 offensive rebounds per game (541 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Sacramento State has 236 offensive rebounds this season — most among Big Sky Teams

Sacramento State has 541 offensive rebounds since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big Sky Teams

Idaho Defensive Stats & Trends:

Idaho has averaged 5.5 steals per game (290 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 5.7

Idaho has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (513/1,147) this season — 4th best among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 45%

Idaho has allowed 71.2 points per game (1,496 points/21 games) this season — 5th highest among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 71.8

Sacramento State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State has averaged 4.4 steals per game (92 steals/21 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Sacramento State has averaged 24.7 defensive rebounds per game (518 rebounds/21 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.8

Sacramento State has averaged 24.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,275 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.3

Sacramento State has forced 9.3 turnovers per game (196 turnovers/21 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.