Illinois vs Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 18

(AP Photo)
  • Illinois (8-5) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Michigan (6-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
  • Illinois / Michigan TV channel: FS1

The Illinois Fighting Illini (8-5) visit Crisler Center to take on the Michigan Wolverines (6-11) on Jan. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Ann Arbor, MI.

Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Illinois vs. Michigan Over/Under is 153.5 total points.

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Illinois vs. Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Illinois-2.5 -115O 153.5 -110-145
Michigan +2.5 -105U 153.5 -110+120

Illinois vs Michigan Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Illinois will win this college basketball game with 57.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Illinois vs Michigan Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Michigan will cover the spread with 55.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Illinois have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 10 away games (+2.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 away games (+0.60 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 34 games (+5.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+0.60 Units / 3% ROI)

Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois has a 8-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.5 Units / -17.76% ROI).

  • 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -70.71% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting the Over for +1.3 Units / 8.33% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting the Under for -2.9 Units / -18.83% ROI

Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan has a 6-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.1 Units / -17.76% ROI).

  • 6-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.35 Units / -70.71% ROI
  • 11-6 when betting the Over for +4.4 Units / 8.33% ROI
  • 6-11 when betting the Under for -6.05 Units / -18.83% ROI

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (419 assists/ 397 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.4

Illinois is shooting 30% from three (125/418) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Illinois is shooting 32% from three (389/1,216) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (617 assists/ 614 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (376 assists/ 329 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.4

Michigan has averaged 13.0 turnovers per game (221 turnovers/17 games) this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.3

Michigan has an eFG% of 55% this season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Michigan has averaged 1.33 points per shot (1,355 points/1,021 shots) this season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.03 points per shot (1,079 points/1,044 shots) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.03 points per shot (1,079 points/1,044 shots) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Illinois has averaged 30.6 defensive rebounds per game (489 rebounds/16 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.5

Illinois has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (407/1,044) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has averaged 4.4 steals per game (74 steals/17 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.9

Michigan has averaged 4.5 steals per game (232 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Michigan has averaged 4.5 steals per game (232 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Michigan has averaged 4.5 steals per game (232 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.