Illinois State vs Southern Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 10, 2024, 11:23 AM
  • Southern Illinois (16-6) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Illinois State (9-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 129.5 points
  • Illinois State / Southern Illinois TV channel: ESPN+

The Illinois State Redbirds (9-14) visit Banterra Center to take on the Southern Illinois Salukis (16-6) on Feb. 10. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Carbondale, IL.

Southern Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The Illinois State vs. Southern Illinois Over/Under is 129.5 total points.

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Illinois State vs. Southern Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Illinois State+7.5 -105O 129.5 -115+270
Southern Illinois -7.5 -115U 129.5 -105-350

Illinois State vs Southern Illinois Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Southern Illinois will win this college basketball game with 77.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Illinois State vs Southern Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Illinois State will cover the spread with 53.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Illinois State has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+4.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Illinois State has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Illinois State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 30 games (+7.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+2.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+1.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+1.35 Units / 3% ROI)

Illinois State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois State has a 9-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.35 Units / -25.15% ROI).

  • 10-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -9.78% ROI
  • 8-14 when betting the Over for -7.3 Units / -28.97% ROI
  • 14-8 when betting the Under for +5.2 Units / 20.47% ROI

Southern Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Southern Illinois has a 16-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+9.4 Units / 37.15% ROI).

  • 14-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -2.95% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting the Over for +3.1 Units / 12.28% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting the Under for -5.35 Units / -21.1% ROI

Illinois State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois State is shooting 28% from three (141/508) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Illinois State is shooting 31% from three (373/1,198) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Illinois State has averaged 66.0 points per game (3,697 points/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 71.4

Illinois State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.8 (628 assists/ 744 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Southern Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Southern Illinois has averaged 7.6 offensive rebounds per game (432 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6

Southern Illinois has averaged 73.2 points per game (1,758 points/24 games) this season — 5th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 73.4

Southern Illinois is shooting 74% from the free throw line (744/1,001) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 72%

Southern Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (799 assists/ 691 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Illinois State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois State has averaged 5.9 steals per game (141 steals/24 games) this season — 4th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Illinois State has averaged 5.8 steals per game (324 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Illinois State has forced 11.7 turnovers per game (281 turnovers/24 games) this season — 4th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Illinois State has allowed 69.2 points per game (3,876 points/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 69.3

Southern Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Southern Illinois has allowed 4.8 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Southern Illinois has averaged 5.5 steals per game (133 steals/24 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Southern Illinois has averaged 6.5 steals per game (371 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Southern Illinois has allowed 5.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.