Iowa vs Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 24

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Illinois coach Brad Underwood watches during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Michigan State, Friday, Jan. 13, 2023, in Champaign, Ill.
(AP Photo/Michael Allio)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 24, 2024, 10:53 AM
  • Illinois (13-10) is a -9.5 point favorite vs Iowa (11-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 166.5 points
  • Iowa / Illinois TV channel: BTN

The Iowa Hawkeyes (11-16) visit State Farm Center to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini (13-10) on Feb. 24. Tip off is scheduled for 2:15pm EST in Champaign, IL.

Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Iowa vs. Illinois Over/Under is 166.5 total points.

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Iowa vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Iowa+9.5 -110O 166.5 -105+375
Illinois -9.5 -110U 166.5 -115-500

Iowa vs Illinois Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Illinois will win this college basketball game with 83.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Iowa vs Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Illinois will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Iowa has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 32 games (+1.75 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 away games (+0.95 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Iowa have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 11 away games (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+2.85 Units / 4% ROI)

Iowa Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Iowa has a 11-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.6 Units / -22.22% ROI).

  • 11-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 1.32% ROI
  • 17-10 when betting the Over for +6 Units / 20.24% ROI
  • 10-17 when betting the Under for -8.75 Units / -29.41% ROI

Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois has a 13-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.95 Units / 6.81% ROI).

  • 12-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -2.38% ROI
  • 18-8 when betting the Over for +9.2 Units / 32.17% ROI
  • 8-18 when betting the Under for -11.8 Units / -41.26% ROI

Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (418 assists/ 228 TOs) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (961 assists/ 554 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (961 assists/ 554 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.2

Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (326 assists/ 230 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has 22.0 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Illinois is shooting 32% from three (446/1,389) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Illinois has averaged 1.31 points per shot (1,896 points/1,449 shots) this season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (246 assists/ 248 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Iowa Defensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa has allowed 75.9 points per game (2,579 points/34 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 65.9

Iowa has 181 steals this season — 2nd most among Big 10 Teams

Iowa has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (1,586/3,416) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Iowa has 397 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd most among Big 10 Teams

Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has averaged 29.7 defensive rebounds per game (683 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Illinois has allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.7

Illinois has averaged 29.7 defensive rebounds per game (683 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.09 points per shot (1,620 points/1,482 shots) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.