Iowa State vs Baylor Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 3

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Baylor basketball team coach.
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 03, 2024, 10:48 AM
  • Baylor (12-6) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Iowa State (13-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • Iowa State / Baylor TV channel: ESPN2

The Iowa State Cyclones (13-7) visit Foster Pavillion to take on the Baylor Bears (12-6) on Feb. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Waco, TX.

Baylor is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Iowa State vs. Baylor Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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Iowa State vs. Baylor Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Iowa State+3.5 -105O 142.5 -110+150
Baylor -3.5 -115U 142.5 -110-185

Iowa State vs Baylor Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Baylor will win this college basketball game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Iowa State vs Baylor Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Iowa State will cover the spread with 59.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Iowa State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 32 games (+8.70 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Iowa State have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+1.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Iowa State have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 32 games (+0.50 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Baylor have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Baylor have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+2.15 Units / 6% ROI)

Iowa State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Iowa State has a 13-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.3 Units / 24.09% ROI).

  • 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 7.45% ROI
  • 13-7 when betting the Over for +5.3 Units / 24.09% ROI
  • 7-13 when betting the Under for -7.3 Units / -33.18% ROI

Baylor Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Baylor has a 12-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.4 Units / 25.84% ROI).

  • 9-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 5.19% ROI
  • 11-8 when betting the Over for +2.05 Units / 9.72% ROI
  • 8-11 when betting the Under for -4.05 Units / -19.57% ROI

Iowa State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa State has 23.6 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 19.8

Iowa St. averaged 7.7 offensive rebounds per game (247 rebounds/32 games) last season — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 10.9

Iowa St. averaged 28.7 points per game (516 points/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36.2

Iowa State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (348 assists/ 222 TOs) this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor has made 9.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Baylor has made 9.8 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.9

Baylor is shooting 38% from three (494/1,294) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Baylor shot 39% from three (38/97) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 30%

Iowa State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa St. allowed opponents to shoot 70% off the dribble (56/80) on shots around the rim last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 57%

Iowa State has averaged 9.7 steals per game (513 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Iowa St. allowed opponents to shoot 21% from three off the dribble (8/38) in half court possessions last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 29%

Iowa State has forced 17.2 turnovers per game (911 turnovers/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.3

Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 54% off the dribble (19/35) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (16/69) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (25/93) in possessions with at least three passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 27% (9/34) on left corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.