Kansas State vs Cincinnati Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 02, 2024, 12:56 PM
  • Cincinnati (14-14) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Kansas State (14-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
  • Kansas State / Cincinnati TV channel: ESPN+

The Kansas State Wildcats (14-14) visit Fifth Third Arena to take on the Cincinnati Bearcats (14-14) on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Cincinnati, OH.

Cincinnati is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

The Kansas State vs. Cincinnati Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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Kansas State vs. Cincinnati Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kansas State+6.5 -115O 138.5 -110+200
Cincinnati -6.5 -105U 138.5 -110-250

Kansas State vs Cincinnati Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Cincinnati will win this college basketball game with 73.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Kansas State vs Cincinnati Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Cincinnati will cover the spread with 52.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Kansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+1.75 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 34 games (+1.40 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 32 games (+1.40 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+1.60 Units / 4% ROI)

Kansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kansas State has a 13-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.45 Units / -11.22% ROI).

  • 14-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 1.54% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -8.09% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -0.98% ROI

Cincinnati Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Cincinnati has a 13-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.35 Units / -7.64% ROI).

  • 13-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.05 Units / -3.08% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -11.36% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI

Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas St. made 109 three-pointers in possessions with two passes or less last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas St. attempted 363 threes in half court possessions last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas St. made 129 three-pointers in half court possessions last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas St. made 46 three-pointers on right wing attemps last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Cincinnati Offensive Stats & Trends:

Cincinnati has averaged 14.5 offensive rebounds per game (305 rebounds/21 games) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.0

Cincinnati has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (885 assists/ 627 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Cincinnati has averaged 15.5 assists per game (885 assists/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Cincinnati has 305 offensive rebounds this season — 2nd most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas St. allowed 31.6 points per game (664 points/21 games) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28.4

Kansas St. forced 1.1 turnovers per game (23 turnovers/21 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

Kansas State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (287/952) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%

Kansas St. allowed an average of 1.51 points per shot (814 points/539 shots) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.35

Cincinnati Defensive Stats & Trends:

Cincinnati has averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,509 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Cincinnati has allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (3,908 points/3,362 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Cincinnati has allowed 6.1 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.