Kansas State vs Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 13, 2024, 9:49 AM
  • Texas (12-19) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Kansas State (16-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • Kansas State / Texas TV channel: ESPN+

The Kansas State Wildcats (16-15) visit T-Mobile Center to take on the Texas Longhorns (12-19) on Mar. 13. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

Texas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-120).

The Kansas State vs. Texas Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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Kansas State vs. Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kansas State+4.5 +100O 142.5 -110+180
Texas -4.5 -120U 142.5 -110-225

Kansas State vs Texas Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Texas will win this college basketball game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Kansas State vs Texas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Kansas State will cover the spread with 54.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Kansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 33 games (+2.90 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+2.70 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 35 games (+2.40 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Kansas State have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 24 games at home (+14.30 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+2.70 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 35 games (+1.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+1.05 Units / 1% ROI)

Kansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kansas State has a 15-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.55 Units / -7.49% ROI).

  • 15-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 0.91% ROI
  • 15-15 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -4.67% ROI
  • 15-15 when betting the Under for -1.45 Units / -4.27% ROI

Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas has a 12-19 record against the spread this college basketball season (-8.95 Units / -26.21% ROI).

  • 15-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -0.08% ROI
  • 19-12 when betting the Over for +5.8 Units / 16.91% ROI
  • 12-19 when betting the Under for -8.8 Units / -25.88% ROI

Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas St. made 109 three-pointers in possessions with two passes or less last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas St. attempted 363 threes in half court possessions last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas St. made 129 three-pointers in half court possessions last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas St. made 46 three-pointers on right wing attemps last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas averaged 1.49 points per shot (73 points/49 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas had an eFG% of 63% in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 53%

Texas averaged 4.8 turnovers per game (152 turnovers/32 games) in the second half last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Texas is shooting 41% from three (102/250) in the first half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36%

Kansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas St. allowed 31.6 points per game (664 points/21 games) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28.4

Kansas St. forced 1.1 turnovers per game (23 turnovers/21 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

Kansas State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (287/952) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%

Kansas St. allowed an average of 1.51 points per shot (814 points/539 shots) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.35

Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 46% from three off the dribble (13/28) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28%

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 57% on catch and shoot opportunities (12/21) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Texas allowed an average of 1.88 points per shot (60 points/32 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas allowed 4.4 made three-pointers per game last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 5.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.