Kent State vs Ball State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 5

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Ball State head coach Michael Lewis gestures in the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Illinois State in Indianapolis, Saturday, Dec. 17, 2022.
(AP Photo/Michael Conroy)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 05, 2024, 11:50 AM
  • Kent State (9-18) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Ball State (15-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • Kent State / Ball State TV channel: ESPN+

The Kent State Golden Flashes (9-18) visit Worthen Arena to take on the Ball State Cardinals (15-12) on Mar. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Muncie, IN.

Kent State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Kent State vs. Ball State Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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Kent State vs. Ball State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kent State-1.5 -105O 142.5 -110-115
Ball State +1.5 -115U 142.5 -110-105

Kent State vs Ball State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Ball State will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Kent State vs Ball State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Ball State will cover the spread with 58.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Kent State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 away games (+4.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Kent State has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Kent State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 away games (+0.75 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Kent State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 14 away games (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Ball State have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 28 games (+0.70 Units / 2% ROI)

Kent State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kent State has a 9-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-10.8 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • 13-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.4 Units / -14.23% ROI
  • 16-11 when betting the Over for +4.1 Units / 13.85% ROI
  • 11-16 when betting the Under for -6.8 Units / -22.7% ROI

Ball State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ball State has a 15-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.8 Units / 6.06% ROI).

  • 12-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.2 Units / -24.2% ROI
  • 13-13 when betting the Over for -1.35 Units / -4.52% ROI
  • 13-13 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -4.06% ROI

Kent State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kent State has averaged 12.4 turnovers per game (285 turnovers/23 games) this season — 4th highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Kent State has averaged 76.9 points per game (1,768 points/23 games) this season — 3rd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 73.8

Kent State is shooting 76% from the free throw line (367/485) this season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Kent State has averaged 13.0 assists per game (300 assists/23 games) this season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 12.6

Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has 22.9 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Ball State has a 41% free throw rate (1,259 free throw attempts/3,064 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 33%

Ball State has averaged 1.35 points per shot (1,734 points/1,280 shots) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.26

Ball State has made 7.7 three-pointers per game this season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Kent State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kent State has forced 14.7 turnovers per game (854 turnovers/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 12.1

Kent State has averaged 8.2 steals per game (474 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Kent State has 474 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Mid-American Teams

Kent State has averaged 22.7 defensive rebounds per game (521 rebounds/23 games) this season — 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6

Ball State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has averaged 5.6 steals per game (128 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Ball State has allowed an average of 1.23 points per shot (3,925 points/3,196 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 1.26

Ball State has averaged 24.0 defensive rebounds per game (551 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6

Ball State has averaged 5.5 steals per game (304 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.