- Mississippi State (14-12) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Kentucky (16-11)
- Total (Over/Under): 156.5 points
- Kentucky / Mississippi State TV channel: ESPN
The Kentucky Wildcats (16-11) visit Humphrey Coliseum to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (14-12) on Feb. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Starkville, MS.
Mississippi State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).
The Kentucky vs. Mississippi State Over/Under is 156.5 total points.
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Kentucky vs. Mississippi State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Kentucky | +3.5 -105 | O 156.5 -110 | +145 |
| Mississippi State | -3.5 -115 | U 156.5 -110 | -175 |
Kentucky vs Mississippi State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Mississippi State will win this college basketball game with 63.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Kentucky vs Mississippi State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 58.7% confidence for today’s game.
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Kentucky Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+11.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- Kentucky have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.95 Units / 8% ROI)
- Kentucky have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.60 Units / 22% ROI)
Mississippi State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 17 games at home (+12.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.65 Units / 5% ROI)
- Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+3.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+1.80 Units / 7% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+1.65 Units / 4% ROI)
Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Kentucky has a 16-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.9 Units / 13.13% ROI).
- 17-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.8 Units / -6.05% ROI
- 19-8 when betting the Over for +10.2 Units / 34.29% ROI
- 8-19 when betting the Under for -12.85 Units / -43.34% ROI
Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Mississippi State has a 14-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.75 Units / 2.52% ROI).
- 16-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 5.86% ROI
- 13-14 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -8.07% ROI
- 14-13 when betting the Under for -0.25 Units / -0.84% ROI
Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:
Kentucky has averaged 91.0 points per game (1,911 points/21 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 76.1
Kentucky is shooting 41% from three (216/527) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (385 assists/ 207 TOs) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Kentucky has a TS% of 53% this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 48%
Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State is shooting 29% from three (341/1,183) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%
Mississippi State is shooting 65% from the free throw line (271/419) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 71%
Mississippi State is shooting 67% from the free throw line (750/1,126) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%
Mississippi State has averaged 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (717 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6
Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:
Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (915/2,162) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 41%
Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (273/837) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 31%
Kentucky has allowed 70.4 points per game (2,535 points/36 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 67.3
Kentucky has allowed 79.3 points per game (1,666 points/21 games) this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 72.2
Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State has averaged 8.3 steals per game (466 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Mississippi State has averaged 8.3 steals per game (466 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.2
Mississippi State has averaged 8.1 steals per game (179 steals/22 games) this season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Mississippi State has allowed 60.4 points per game (1,992 points/33 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 67.3
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