Kentucky vs Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2024, 11:34 AM
  • Tennessee (16-13) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Kentucky (17-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 167.5 points
  • Kentucky / Tennessee TV channel: CBS

The Kentucky Wildcats (17-13) visit Thompson-Boling Arena to take on the Tennessee Volunteers (16-13) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Knoxville, TN.

Tennessee is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Kentucky vs. Tennessee Over/Under is 167.5 total points.

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Kentucky vs. Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kentucky+7.5 -110O 167.5 -115+280
Tennessee -7.5 -110U 167.5 -105-350

Kentucky vs Tennessee Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this college basketball game with 77.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Kentucky vs Tennessee Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 33 games (+14.10 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 33 games (+1.45 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 19 games at home (+10.05 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+8.20 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+4.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+3.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 30 games (+2.85 Units / 2% ROI)

Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kentucky has a 17-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.7 Units / 8.18% ROI).

  • 20-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -3.17% ROI
  • 22-8 when betting the Over for +13.2 Units / 39.94% ROI
  • 8-22 when betting the Under for -16.15 Units / -49.01% ROI

Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee has a 16-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.75 Units / 5.31% ROI).

  • 19-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.85 Units / 2.77% ROI
  • 16-14 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI
  • 14-16 when betting the Under for -3.55 Units / -10.77% ROI

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has averaged 91.0 points per game (1,911 points/21 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 76.1

Kentucky is shooting 41% from three (216/527) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (385 assists/ 207 TOs) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Kentucky has a TS% of 53% this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 48%

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (664 assists/ 398 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (366 assists/ 219 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (967 assists/ 650 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (462 assists/ 292 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (915/2,162) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 41%

Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (273/837) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 31%

Kentucky has allowed 70.4 points per game (2,535 points/36 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 67.3

Kentucky has allowed 79.3 points per game (1,666 points/21 games) this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 72.2

Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has allowed 57.6 points per game (2,073 points/36 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 67.3

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (357/1,273) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (1,180/3,126) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 42%

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 35% (707/1,990) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 41%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.