- Liberty (12-14) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Middle Tennessee (9-18)
- Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
- Liberty / Middle Tennessee TV channel: ESPN+
The Liberty Flames (12-14) visit Murphy Center to take on the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (9-18) on Mar. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Murfreesboro, TN.
Liberty is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).
The Liberty vs. Middle Tennessee Over/Under is 136.5 total points.
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Liberty vs. Middle Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Liberty | -5.5 -105 | O 136.5 -110 | -225 |
Middle Tennessee | +5.5 -115 | U 136.5 -110 | +180 |
Liberty vs Middle Tennessee Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Liberty will win this college basketball game with 68.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Liberty vs Middle Tennessee Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Middle Tennessee will cover the spread with 54.1% confidence for today’s game.
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Liberty Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Liberty has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
Middle Tennessee Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Middle Tennessee has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- Middle Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+2.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- Middle Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 17 games at home (+0.95 Units / 5% ROI)
- Middle Tennessee have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 17 games at home (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
Liberty Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Liberty has a 12-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.3 Units / -11.58% ROI).
- 12-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.1 Units / -20.83% ROI
- 15-11 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 10.1% ROI
- 11-15 when betting the Under for -5.4 Units / -18.95% ROI
Middle Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Middle Tennessee has a 9-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-10.8 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- 10-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.05 Units / -30.74% ROI
- 12-15 when betting the Over for -4.55 Units / -15.29% ROI
- 15-12 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 6.07% ROI
Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends:
Liberty has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (660 assists/ 395 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.0
Liberty has a TS% of 54% since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic Sun Teams; League Avg: 48%
Liberty has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (390 assists/ 218 TOs) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Liberty has made 10.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4
Middle Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:
Middle Tennessee is shooting 28% from three (148/530) this season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Middle Tennessee has averaged 62.9 points per game (1,447 points/23 games) this season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0
Middle Tennessee has averaged 9.3 assists per game (214 assists/23 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5
Middle Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (214 assists/ 321 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Liberty Defensive Stats & Trends:
Liberty has allowed 62.0 points per game (3,657 points/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.1
Liberty has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (999 points/866 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic Sun Teams ; League Avg: 1.24
Liberty has allowed 63.6 points per game (1,463 points/23 games) this season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8
Liberty has allowed 5.6 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Middle Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:
Middle Tennessee has averaged 22.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,251 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Middle Tennessee has 384 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th most among Conference USA Teams
Middle Tennessee has allowed 5.7 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Middle Tennessee has allowed 6.2 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
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