Louisiana vs Arkansas State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 9

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The coach from Arkansas State Red Wolves shouting something
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2024, 11:16 AM
  • Arkansas State (19-11) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Louisiana (16-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
  • Louisiana / Arkansas State TV channel: ESPN+

The Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (16-14) visit Pensacola Bay Center to take on the Arkansas State Red Wolves (19-11) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Pensacola, FL.

Arkansas State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Louisiana vs. Arkansas State Over/Under is 152.5 total points.

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Louisiana vs. Arkansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Louisiana+2.5 -115O 152.5 -110+115
Arkansas State -2.5 -105U 152.5 -110-140

Louisiana vs Arkansas State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Arkansas State will win this college basketball game with 56.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Louisiana vs Arkansas State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Louisiana will cover the spread with 59.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Louisiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+9.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Louisiana have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 away games (+2.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 17 away games (+1.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Arkansas State have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 29 games (+11.15 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+8.95 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+8.65 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 games (+4.90 Units / 11% ROI)

Louisiana Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisiana has a 16-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI).

  • 16-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.7 Units / -8.22% ROI
  • 14-15 when betting the Over for -2.45 Units / -7.42% ROI
  • 15-14 when betting the Under for -0.35 Units / -1.06% ROI

Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas State has a 20-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+9 Units / 26.24% ROI).

  • 17-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 2.82% ROI
  • 13-17 when betting the Over for -5.6 Units / -16.47% ROI
  • 17-13 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 7.89% ROI

Louisiana Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisiana is shooting 37% from three (448/1,201) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 33%

Louisiana is shooting 37% from three (209/567) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 33%

Louisiana has a 28% free throw rate (424 free throw attempts/1,522 field goal attempts) this season — tied for 36th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Louisiana has an eFG% of 54% since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 50%

Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State has averaged 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (290 rebounds/25 games) this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Arkansas State has 21.2 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 19.5

Arkansas State has made 10.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Arkansas State has a 34% free throw rate (529 free throw attempts/1,546 field goal attempts) this season — 5th highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 32%

Louisiana Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisiana has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (549 rebounds/25 games) this season — tied for 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Louisiana has averaged 7.8 steals per game (458 steals/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Louisiana has averaged 8.6 steals per game (215 steals/25 games) this season — 3rd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Louisiana has allowed opponents to shoot 26% from three (115/440) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 33%

Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State has averaged 5.3 steals per game (133 steals/25 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Arkansas State has averaged 6.1 steals per game (353 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Arkansas State has forced 9.5 turnovers per game (237 turnovers/25 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 11.9

Arkansas State has forced 10.2 turnovers per game (594 turnovers/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.