- Duke (15-11) is a -20.5 point favorite vs Louisville (12-14)
- Total (Over/Under): 151.5 points
- Louisville / Duke TV channel: ACCN
The Louisville Cardinals (12-14) visit Cameron Indoor Stadium to take on the Duke Blue Devils (15-11) on Feb. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Durham, NC.
Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -20.5 (-110).
The Louisville vs. Duke Over/Under is 151.5 total points.
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Louisville vs. Duke Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Louisville | +20.5 -110 | O 151.5 -110 | +1450 |
| Duke | -20.5 -110 | U 151.5 -110 | -5000 |
Louisville vs Duke Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Duke will win this college basketball game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Louisville vs Duke Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Louisville will cover the spread with 51.4% confidence for today’s game.
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Louisville Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Louisville has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.15 Units / 6% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+1.85 Units / 5% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 30 games (+0.65 Units / 2% ROI)
Duke Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 33 games (+11.95 Units / 4% ROI)
- Duke have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 34 games (+5.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+5.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- Duke has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- Duke has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+1.95 Units / 2% ROI)
Louisville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Louisville has a 11-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.35 Units / -11.28% ROI).
- 8-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -6.14% ROI
- 14-13 when betting the Over for -0.25 Units / -0.84% ROI
- 13-14 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -8.07% ROI
Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Duke has a 15-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.9 Units / 9.76% ROI).
- 16-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -4.04% ROI
- 12-15 when betting the Over for -4.45 Units / -15.01% ROI
- 15-12 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 6.05% ROI
Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends:
Louisville has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.6 (259 assists/ 420 TOs) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Louisville has averaged 14.3 turnovers per game (473 turnovers/33 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 10.7
Louisville has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (326 assists/ 473 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3
Louisville has averaged 14.1 turnovers per game (773 turnovers/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.1
Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (365 assists/ 221 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Duke is shooting 41% from three (100/241) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (193 assists/ 102 TOs) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3
Duke is shooting 48% (664/1,374) this season — 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends:
Louisville has allowed opponents to shoot 48% (332/695) in the first half this season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 41%
Louisville has averaged 4.9 steals per game (271 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.6
Louisville has allowed opponents to shoot 47% (776/1,648) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 42%
Louisville has allowed an average of 1.42 points per shot (1,771 points/1,249 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.26
Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:
Duke has averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (609 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7
Duke has averaged 26.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,573 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Duke has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (388/1,242) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Duke has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (3,843 points/3,406 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.20
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