- North Carolina (10-6) is a -21.5 point favorite vs Louisville (7-9)
- Total (Over/Under): 155.5 points
- Louisville / North Carolina TV channel: ACCN
The Louisville Cardinals (7-9) visit Dean E. Smith Center to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels (10-6) on Jan. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Chapel Hill, NC.
North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -21.5 (-105).
The Louisville vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 155.5 total points.
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Louisville vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Louisville | +21.5 -115 | O 155.5 -115 | +1100 |
| North Carolina | -21.5 -105 | U 155.5 -105 | -2500 |
Louisville vs North Carolina Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this college basketball game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Louisville vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina will cover the spread with 51.6% confidence for today’s game.
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Louisville Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Louisville has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.40 Units / 25% ROI)
North Carolina Basketball Best Bets Today:
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+2.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 games (+1.20 Units / 1% ROI)
- North Carolina have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+1.15 Units / 6% ROI)
Louisville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Louisville has a 6-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.85 Units / -100% ROI).
- 6-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.5 Units / -100% ROI
- 9-7 when betting the Over for +1.3 Units / 86.96% ROI
- 7-9 when betting the Under for -2.9 Units / -100% ROI
North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina has a 10-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.35 Units / -100% ROI).
- 9-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.8 Units / -100% ROI
- 9-7 when betting the Over for +1.25 Units / 86.96% ROI
- 7-9 when betting the Under for -2.9 Units / -100% ROI
Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends:
Louisville has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (483 assists/ 676 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Louisville has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (184 assists/ 247 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Louisville has averaged 14.3 turnovers per game (429 turnovers/30 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 10.7
Louisville has averaged 4.7 assists per game (227 assists/48 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.9
North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has a 38% free throw rate (1,139 free throw attempts/3,002 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 31%
North Carolina has 298 offensive rebounds on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among ACC Teams
North Carolina has 23.2 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 18.9
North Carolina has a 40% free throw rate (400 free throw attempts/1,005 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32%
Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends:
Louisville has averaged 4.9 steals per game (233 steals/48 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.6
Louisville has averaged 4.9 steals per game (233 steals/48 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.3
Louisville has averaged 5.5 steals per game (88 steals/16 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.8
Louisville has averaged 5.0 steals per game (149 steals/30 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.5
North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 26% from three (68/259) this season — 4th best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%
North Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (111/385) this season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
North Carolina has allowed an average of 1.10 points per shot (1,112 points/1,011 shots) this season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22
North Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 26% from three (48/182) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32%
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