LSU vs Arkansas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 06, 2024, 11:25 AM
  • Arkansas (10-19) is a -3.5 point favorite vs LSU (13-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 156.5 points
  • LSU / Arkansas TV channel: SECN

The LSU Tigers (13-16) visit Bud Walton Arena to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks (10-19) on Mar. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Fayetteville, AR.

Arkansas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The LSU vs. Arkansas Over/Under is 156.5 total points.

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LSU vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
LSU+3.5 -110O 156.5 -110+145
Arkansas -3.5 -110U 156.5 -110-175

LSU vs Arkansas Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Arkansas will win this college basketball game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

LSU vs Arkansas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts LSU will cover the spread with 56.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • LSU has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+6.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 away games (+1.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • LSU have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.45 Units / 3% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+1.95 Units / 9% ROI)

LSU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

LSU has a 13-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.55 Units / -14.31% ROI).

  • 12-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.55 Units / 11.43% ROI
  • 14-15 when betting the Over for -2.55 Units / -7.98% ROI
  • 15-14 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -1.26% ROI

Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas has a 10-19 record against the spread this college basketball season (-11 Units / -34.32% ROI).

  • 12-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -13 Units / -12.66% ROI
  • 21-8 when betting the Over for +12.2 Units / 38.24% ROI
  • 8-21 when betting the Under for -15.1 Units / -47.34% ROI

LSU Offensive Stats & Trends:

LSU has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (271 assists/ 294 TOs) this season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

LSU has averaged 13.4 turnovers per game (294 turnovers/22 games) this season — tied for 4th highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4

LSU has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (131 assists/ 141 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

LSU has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (271 assists/ 294 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has 26.6 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 19.9

Arkansas has a 46% free throw rate (558 free throw attempts/1,209 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 33%

Arkansas has a 42% free throw rate (1,368 free throw attempts/3,271 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Arkansas has a 42% free throw rate (1,368 free throw attempts/3,271 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 32%

LSU Defensive Stats & Trends:

LSU has forced 13.7 turnovers per game (302 turnovers/22 games) this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 12.2

LSU has allowed 8.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.5

LSU has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (269/674) in the second half this season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 43%

LSU has allowed 35.3 points per game (776 points/22 games) in the first half this season — tied for 4th highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33.7

Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has averaged 5.5 steals per game (116 steals/21 games) this season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Arkansas has allowed an average of 1.37 points per shot (900 points/655 shots) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Arkansas has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (84/225) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 31%

Arkansas has allowed 42.9 points per game (900 points/21 games) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 38.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.