Maine vs UMBC Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 18

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UMBC head coach Jim Ferry calls out to players during the first half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Maryland Thursday, Dec. 29, 2022, in College Park, Md. Maryland won 80-64. (AP Photo/Jess Rapfogel)
(AP Photo/Jess Rapfogel)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 18, 2024, 12:12 PM
  • Maine (8-8) is a -3.5 point favorite vs UMBC (9-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
  • Maine / UMBC TV channel: ESPN+

The Maine Black Bears (8-8) visit Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena to take on the UMBC Retrievers (9-8) on Jan. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Baltimore, MD.

Maine is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Maine vs. UMBC Over/Under is 153.5 total points.

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Maine vs. UMBC Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Maine-3.5 -110O 153.5 -105-165
UMBC +3.5 -110U 153.5 -115+140

Maine vs UMBC Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Maine will win this college basketball game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Maine vs UMBC Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UMBC will cover the spread with 58.3% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on UMBC vs Maine and all games with BetMGM


  • Maine has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 29 games (+10.85 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Maine has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 games (+4.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Maine has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 away games (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Maine has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 away games (+3.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • UMBC has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • UMBC has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 30 games (+0.60 Units / 2% ROI)
  • UMBC has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games at home (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)

Maine Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Maine has a 6-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.05 Units / -17.76% ROI).

  • 5-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.65 Units / -70.71% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting the Over for -2.9 Units / 8.33% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting the Under for +1.3 Units / -18.83% ROI

UMBC Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UMBC has a 9-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.2 Units / -17.76% ROI).

  • 4-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.9 Units / -70.71% ROI
  • 12-5 when betting the Over for +6.5 Units / 8.33% ROI
  • 5-12 when betting the Under for -8.2 Units / -18.83% ROI

Maine Offensive Stats & Trends:

Maine has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (634 assists/ 537 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among America East Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Maine is shooting 46% (1,226/2,677) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among America East Teams; League Avg: 45%

Maine is shooting 46% (442/966) this season — tied for 4th lowest among America East Teams; League Avg: 45%

Maine has averaged 11.4 turnovers per game (537 turnovers/47 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among America East Teams; League Avg: 11.5

UMBC Offensive Stats & Trends:

UMBC has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (231 assists/ 249 TOs) this season — tied for 19th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

UMBC has made 8.6 three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among America East Teams; League Avg: 7.8

UMBC has a 24% free throw rate (279 free throw attempts/1,161 field goal attempts) this season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

UMBC has averaged 8.6 offensive rebounds per game (154 rebounds/18 games) this season — 5th lowest among America East Teams; League Avg: 8.7

Maine Defensive Stats & Trends:

Maine has averaged 9.1 steals per game (428 steals/47 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Maine has 428 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among America East Teams

Maine has averaged 8.5 steals per game (144 steals/17 games) this season — 2nd best among America East Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Maine has 144 steals this season — 2nd most among America East Teams

UMBC Defensive Stats & Trends:

UMBC has averaged 24.9 defensive rebounds per game (449 rebounds/18 games) this season — 5th lowest among America East Teams; League Avg: 26.0

UMBC has averaged 5.4 steals per game (271 steals/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

UMBC has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (1,405/3,074) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 29th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

UMBC has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (402/1,117) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 20th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.