Maryland vs Northwestern Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 17

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Northwestern head coach Chris Collins coaches against Rutgers during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game, Sunday, March 5, 2023 in Piscataway, N.J. Northwestern won 65-53. (AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
(AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 17, 2024, 11:42 AM
  • Northwestern (7-7) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Maryland (6-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 130.5 points
  • Maryland / Northwestern TV channel: BTN

The Maryland Terrapins (6-11) visit Welsh-Ryan Arena to take on the Northwestern Wildcats (7-7) on Jan. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Evanston, IL.

Northwestern is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Maryland vs. Northwestern Over/Under is 130.5 total points.

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Maryland vs. Northwestern Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Maryland+4.5 -110O 130.5 -105+165
Northwestern -4.5 -110U 130.5 -115-200

Maryland vs Northwestern Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Northwestern will win this college basketball game with 61.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Maryland vs Northwestern Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Maryland will cover the spread with 60.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Maryland has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 away games (+8.60 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games (+3.60 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 35 games (+2.10 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games (+1.40 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 games (+12.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Northwestern have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 33 games (+5.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+3.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Northwestern have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.95 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+1.20 Units / 6% ROI)

Maryland Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Maryland has a 6-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -100% ROI
  • 6-11 when betting the Over for -6.1 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 11-6 when betting the Under for +4.4 Units / -100% ROI

Northwestern Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northwestern has a 7-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.7 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 9-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.4 Units / -100% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting the Over for +1.3 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting the Under for -2.9 Units / -100% ROI

Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends:

Maryland has a 45% free throw rate (435 free throw attempts/971 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Maryland has a 45% free throw rate (435 free throw attempts/971 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Maryland has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (186 assists/ 198 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3

Maryland is shooting 28% from three (103/374) this season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (258 assists/ 151 TOs) this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Northwestern has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (151 turnovers/16 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.6

Northwestern has averaged 9.6 turnovers per game (480 turnovers/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.2

Northwestern has averaged 9.6 turnovers per game (480 turnovers/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.8

Maryland Defensive Stats & Trends:

Maryland has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (101/349) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Maryland has allowed 5.7 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.4

Maryland has averaged 6.1 steals per game (317 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.0

Maryland has averaged 7.4 steals per game (126 steals/17 games) this season — 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Northwestern Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (359 rebounds/16 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.6

Northwestern has averaged 7.8 steals per game (388 steals/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Northwestern has averaged 8.0 steals per game (263 steals/33 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Northwestern has averaged 7.8 steals per game (388 steals/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.