Memphis vs SMU Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 18

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SMU head coach Rob Lanier during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Houston, Thursday, Jan. 5, 2023, in Houston.
(AP Photo/Kevin M. Cox)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 18, 2024, 8:35 AM
  • SMU (13-10) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Memphis (8-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 155.5 points
  • Memphis / SMU TV channel: ESPN

The Memphis Tigers (8-17) visit Moody Coliseum to take on the SMU Mustangs (13-10) on Feb. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Dallas, TX.

SMU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Memphis vs. SMU Over/Under is 155.5 total points.

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Memphis vs. SMU Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Memphis+4.5 -105O 155.5 -115+180
SMU -4.5 -115U 155.5 -105-225

Memphis vs SMU Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts SMU will win this college basketball game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Memphis vs SMU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Memphis will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Memphis has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 away games (+5.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 16 away games (+2.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 away games (+2.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Memphis have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 16 away games (+1.30 Units / 7% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 29 games (+8.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 games (+7.60 Units / 6% ROI)
  • SMU have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • SMU have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 29 games (+2.90 Units / 9% ROI)

Memphis Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Memphis has a 8-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-10.75 Units / -39.02% ROI).

  • 16-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -4.97% ROI
  • 15-9 when betting the Over for +5.2 Units / 18.98% ROI
  • 9-15 when betting the Under for -7.5 Units / -27.17% ROI

SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

SMU has a 13-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.1 Units / 11.74% ROI).

  • 16-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.6 Units / 9.36% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -12.48% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting the Under for +0.95 Units / 3.61% ROI

Memphis Offensive Stats & Trends:

Memphis has averaged 13.4 turnovers per game (322 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 23rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Memphis has averaged 11.8 offensive rebounds per game (284 rebounds/24 games) this season — 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Memphis has 22.0 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.6

Memphis has averaged 1.34 points per shot (1,940 points/1,450 shots) this season — tied for 2nd best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.26

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:

SMU has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (386 assists/ 275 TOs) this season — tied for best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

SMU has averaged 13.7 offensive rebounds per game (329 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

SMU is shooting 68% from the free throw line (709/1,043) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 72%

SMU has averaged 16.1 assists per game (386 assists/24 games) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 13.2

Memphis Defensive Stats & Trends:

Memphis has averaged 8.7 steals per game (511 steals/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Memphis has 511 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among AAC Teams

Memphis has 210 steals this season — most among AAC Teams

Memphis has averaged 8.7 steals per game (511 steals/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:

SMU has allowed opponents to shoot 25% from three (27/107) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

SMU has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (552/1,407) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 43%

SMU has averaged 7.8 steals per game (435 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

SMU has allowed an average of 1.10 points per shot (1,550 points/1,407 shots) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.20


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.