Memphis vs SMU Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 2

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SMU head coach Rob Lanier during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Houston, Thursday, Jan. 5, 2023, in Houston.
(AP Photo/Kevin M. Cox)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 02, 2023, 12:02 PM
  • Memphis (22-7) is a Memphis -6.5 point favorite vs SMU (10-19)
  • Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN2

The Memphis Tigers (22-7) visit Moody Coliseum to take on the SMU Mustangs (10-19) on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Dallas.

Memphis is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Memphis vs. SMU Over/Under is 153.5 total points.

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Memphis vs. SMU Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Memphis-6.5 -115O 153.5 -110-275
SMU +6.5 -105U 153.5 -110+225

Memphis vs SMU Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Memphis will win this game with 63.3% confidence.

Memphis vs SMU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Memphis will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Memphis and SMU, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Memphis has hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 42 games (+22.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 41 games (+19.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Memphis have covered the 1H Spread in 26 of their last 43 games (+7.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 away games (+6.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.60 Units / 53% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • SMU have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+7.85 Units / 60% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+4.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • SMU have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)

Memphis Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Memphis has gone 12-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-3.4 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 19-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.25 Units / 9.86% ROI
  • 17-12 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 11.91% ROI
  • 12-17 when betting the Under for -6.7 Units / -21% ROI

SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

SMU has gone 11-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-5.5 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 9-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.05 Units / -15.6% ROI
  • 19-10 when betting the Over for +8 Units / 25.08% ROI
  • 10-19 when betting the Under for -10.9 Units / -34.17% ROI

Memphis Offensive Stats & Trends:

Memphis has averaged 14.9 turnovers per game (819 turnovers/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Memphis is shooting 48% (638/1,341) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 44%

Memphis has averaged 14.9 turnovers per game (819 turnovers/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Memphis has averaged 1.31 points per shot (1,756 points/1,341 shots) this season — tied for 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:

SMU has a TS% of 44% this season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

SMU has an eFG% of 47% this season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

SMU has averaged 1.16 points per shot (1,591 points/1,374 shots) this season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

SMU is shooting 42% (573/1,374) this season — 2nd lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 44%

Memphis Defensive Stats & Trends:

Memphis has averaged 8.6 steals per game (475 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Memphis has 198 steals this season — most among AAC Teams

Memphis has averaged 9.0 steals per game (198 steals/22 games) this season — 2nd best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Memphis has averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,464 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:

SMU has averaged 27.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,520 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

SMU has 151 steals this season — 5th most among AAC Teams

SMU has 358 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th most among AAC Teams

SMU has averaged 6.4 steals per game (358 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.