Mercer vs The Citadel Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 24

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No 4 Citadel player getting ready to pass the ball
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 24, 2024, 10:58 AM
  • The Citadel (7-8) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Mercer (9-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 134.5 points
  • Mercer / The Citadel TV channel: ESPN+

The Mercer Bears (9-7) visit McAlister Field House to take on the The Citadel Bulldogs (7-8) on Jan. 24. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Charleston, SC.

The Citadel is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Mercer vs. The Citadel Over/Under is 134.5 total points.

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Mercer vs. The Citadel Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mercer+1.5 -110O 134.5 -110+105
The Citadel -1.5 -110U 134.5 -110-125

Mercer vs The Citadel Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts The Citadel will win this college basketball game with 54.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mercer vs The Citadel Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Mercer will cover the spread with 58.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Mercer has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+5.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Mercer have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Citadel has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Citadel has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Citadel has hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.45 Units / 8% ROI)

Mercer Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mercer has a 9-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.3 Units / 7.39% ROI).

  • 6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -17.91% ROI
  • 10-6 when betting the Over for +3.4 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • 6-10 when betting the Under for -5 Units / -28.41% ROI

The Citadel Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

The Citadel has a 7-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.8 Units / -10.23% ROI).

  • 5-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -28.29% ROI
  • 6-10 when betting the Over for -5.05 Units / -28.61% ROI
  • 10-6 when betting the Under for +3.4 Units / 19.37% ROI

Mercer Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mercer has averaged 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (190 rebounds/19 games) this season — 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 10.2

Mercer has averaged 1.20 points per shot (3,598 points/3,005 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Mercer has averaged 1.19 points per shot (1,330 points/1,120 shots) this season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Mercer has averaged 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (509 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 9.4

The Citadel Offensive Stats & Trends:

The Citadel has averaged 11.1 offensive rebounds per game (210 rebounds/19 games) this season — 3rd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 10.2

The Citadel has averaged 11.4 turnovers per game (217 turnovers/19 games) this season — 5th highest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 11.9

The Citadel is shooting 54% from inside the arc (279/514) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 54%

The Citadel has averaged 11.3 assists per game (577 assists/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Mercer Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mercer has averaged 22.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,188 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Mercer has averaged 6.1 steals per game (318 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Mercer has 133 steals this season — 4th most among Southern Teams

Mercer has averaged 7.0 steals per game (133 steals/19 games) this season — 4th best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.5

The Citadel Defensive Stats & Trends:

The Citadel has averaged 5.4 steals per game (275 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

The Citadel has allowed 68.8 points per game (1,308 points/19 games) this season — 3rd best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 72.2

The Citadel has allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (1,308 points/1,131 shots) this season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

The Citadel has forced 10.7 turnovers per game (545 turnovers/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.