Mercer vs The Citadel Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 24

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Citadel guard Elijah Morgan (4) looks to pass during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against North Carolina Tuesday, Dec. 13, 2022, in Chapel Hill, N.C.
(AP Photo/Chris Seward)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 24, 2024, 10:58 AM
  • The Citadel (7-8) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Mercer (9-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 134.5 points
  • Mercer / The Citadel TV channel: ESPN+

The Mercer Bears (9-7) visit McAlister Field House to take on the The Citadel Bulldogs (7-8) on Jan. 24. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Charleston, SC.

The Citadel is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Mercer vs. The Citadel Over/Under is 134.5 total points.

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Mercer vs. The Citadel Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mercer+1.5 -110O 134.5 -110+105
The Citadel -1.5 -110U 134.5 -110-125

Mercer vs The Citadel Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts The Citadel will win this college basketball game with 54.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mercer vs The Citadel Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Mercer will cover the spread with 58.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Mercer has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+5.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Mercer have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Citadel has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Citadel has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Citadel has hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.45 Units / 8% ROI)

Mercer Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mercer has a 9-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.3 Units / 7.39% ROI).

  • 6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -17.91% ROI
  • 10-6 when betting the Over for +3.4 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • 6-10 when betting the Under for -5 Units / -28.41% ROI

The Citadel Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

The Citadel has a 7-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.8 Units / -10.23% ROI).

  • 5-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -28.29% ROI
  • 6-10 when betting the Over for -5.05 Units / -28.61% ROI
  • 10-6 when betting the Under for +3.4 Units / 19.37% ROI

Mercer Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mercer has averaged 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (190 rebounds/19 games) this season — 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 10.2

Mercer has averaged 1.20 points per shot (3,598 points/3,005 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Mercer has averaged 1.19 points per shot (1,330 points/1,120 shots) this season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Mercer has averaged 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (509 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 9.4

The Citadel Offensive Stats & Trends:

The Citadel has averaged 11.1 offensive rebounds per game (210 rebounds/19 games) this season — 3rd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 10.2

The Citadel has averaged 11.4 turnovers per game (217 turnovers/19 games) this season — 5th highest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 11.9

The Citadel is shooting 54% from inside the arc (279/514) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 54%

The Citadel has averaged 11.3 assists per game (577 assists/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Mercer Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mercer has averaged 22.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,188 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Mercer has averaged 6.1 steals per game (318 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Mercer has 133 steals this season — 4th most among Southern Teams

Mercer has averaged 7.0 steals per game (133 steals/19 games) this season — 4th best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.5

The Citadel Defensive Stats & Trends:

The Citadel has averaged 5.4 steals per game (275 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

The Citadel has allowed 68.8 points per game (1,308 points/19 games) this season — 3rd best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 72.2

The Citadel has allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (1,308 points/1,131 shots) this season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

The Citadel has forced 10.7 turnovers per game (545 turnovers/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.