Michigan vs Maryland Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 11

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The Maryland Terrapins coach shouting with his arms up in the air
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 11, 2024, 11:39 AM
  • Maryland (4-11) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Michigan (5-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
  • Michigan / Maryland TV channel: FS1

The Michigan Wolverines (5-10) visit Xfinity Center to take on the Maryland Terrapins (4-11) on Jan. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in College Park, MD.

Maryland is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Michigan vs. Maryland Over/Under is 139.5 total points.

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Michigan vs. Maryland Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Michigan+5.5 -105O 139.5 -105+200
Maryland -5.5 -115U 139.5 -115-250

Michigan vs Maryland Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Maryland will win this college basketball game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Michigan vs Maryland Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Michigan will cover the spread with 55.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 14 away games (+4.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.05 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+1.70 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 16 games at home (+14.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 19 games at home (+11.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Maryland have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)

Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan has a 5-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.35 Units / 0% ROI
  • 11-4 when betting the Over for +6.6 Units / 0% ROI
  • 4-11 when betting the Under for -8.05 Units / 0% ROI

Maryland Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Maryland has a 4-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-8.1 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.3 Units / 0% ROI
  • 5-10 when betting the Over for -6 Units / 0% ROI
  • 10-5 when betting the Under for +4.5 Units / 0% ROI

Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (361 assists/ 320 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.4

Michigan has averaged 13.4 turnovers per game (201 turnovers/15 games) this season — tied for 5th highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.7

Michigan has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (104 assists/ 114 TOs) in the first half this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Michigan has averaged 1.36 points per shot (1,225 points/904 shots) this season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.30

Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends:

Maryland is shooting 27% from three (92/336) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Maryland has a 46% free throw rate (395 free throw attempts/857 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 36%

Maryland has a 46% free throw rate (395 free throw attempts/857 field goal attempts) this season — tied for highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Maryland has an eFG% of 46% this season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 52%

Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has averaged 4.6 steals per game (227 steals/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Michigan has averaged 4.6 steals per game (227 steals/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Michigan has averaged 4.6 steals per game (69 steals/15 games) this season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.0

Michigan has averaged 4.2 steals per game (122 steals/29 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Maryland Defensive Stats & Trends:

Maryland has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (95/327) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Maryland has 307 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th most among Big 10 Teams

Maryland has 116 steals this season — 3rd most among Big 10 Teams

Maryland has allowed 5.7 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.