- Illinois (8-4) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Michigan State (8-7)
- Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
- Michigan State / Illinois TV channel: FS1
The Michigan State Spartans (8-7) visit State Farm Center to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini (8-4) on Jan. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Champaign, IL.
Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Michigan State vs. Illinois Over/Under is 148.5 total points.
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Michigan State vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Michigan State | +3.5 -110 | O 148.5 -110 | +140 |
| Illinois | -3.5 -110 | U 148.5 -110 | -165 |
Michigan State vs Illinois Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Illinois will win this college basketball game with 63.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Michigan State vs Illinois Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 56.9% confidence for today’s game.
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Michigan State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Michigan State have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 33 games (+2.30 Units / 1% ROI)
Illinois Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+5.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- Illinois have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+3.85 Units / 11% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+3.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.10 Units / 3% ROI)
Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Michigan State has a 8-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.3 Units / 0% ROI).
- 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.7 Units / 0% ROI
- 8-7 when betting the Over for +0.25 Units / 0% ROI
- 7-8 when betting the Under for -1.75 Units / 0% ROI
Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Illinois has a 8-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.6 Units / 0% ROI).
- 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 0% ROI
- 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.4 Units / 0% ROI
- 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / 0% ROI
Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Michigan State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (279 assists/ 167 TOs) this season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (355/929) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%
Michigan State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (378 assists/ 241 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3
Michigan State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (555 assists/ 329 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.4
Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:
Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (400 assists/ 380 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.4
Illinois is shooting 30% from three (180/605) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Illinois is shooting 30% from three (180/605) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Illinois has averaged 6.3 turnovers per game (294 turnovers/47 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.3
Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (112/377) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Michigan State has allowed an average of 1.01 points per shot (1,437 points/1,416 shots) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.08
Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 33% (144/434) in the first half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 40%
Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (707/1,820) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 41%
Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:
Illinois has allowed an average of 1.03 points per shot (935 points/910 shots) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21
Illinois has averaged 31.1 defensive rebounds per game (436 rebounds/14 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.7
Illinois has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (348/910) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%
Illinois has allowed an average of 1.03 points per shot (935 points/910 shots) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21
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