Michigan State vs Penn State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 14

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Penn State head coach Mike Rhoades speaks during Big Ten NCAA college basketball Media Days Tuesday, Oct. 10, 2023, in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Bruce Kluckhohn)
(AP Photo/Bruce Kluckhohn)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 14, 2024, 11:28 AM
  • Michigan State (13-10) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Penn State (12-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
  • Michigan State / Penn State TV channel: BTN

The Michigan State Spartans (13-10) visit Bryce Jordan Center to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions (12-12) on Feb. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in University Park, PA.

Michigan State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Michigan State vs. Penn State Over/Under is 143.5 total points.

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Michigan State vs. Penn State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Michigan State-3.5 -110O 143.5 -105-160
Penn State +3.5 -110U 143.5 -115+135

Michigan State vs Penn State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Michigan State will win this college basketball game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Michigan State vs Penn State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Penn State will cover the spread with 58.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.80 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Michigan State have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.75 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Michigan State have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 33 games (+0.50 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games (+12.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games (+7.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+7.45 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Penn State have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 36 games (+4.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 36 games (+4.40 Units / 11% ROI)

Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan State has a 13-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2 Units / 7.58% ROI).

  • 11-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.35 Units / -16.75% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting the Over for -3.35 Units / -12.64% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting the Under for +0.95 Units / 3.61% ROI

Penn State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Penn State has a 12-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 10-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.35 Units / 5.33% ROI
  • 15-9 when betting the Over for +5 Units / 18.87% ROI
  • 9-15 when betting the Under for -7.5 Units / -28.52% ROI

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (414 assists/ 237 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (413/1,076) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (142/372) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State has averaged 4.3 turnovers per game (103 turnovers/24 games) in the second half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.2

Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Penn State has attempted 733 threes on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big 10 Teams

Penn State has made 260 three-pointers on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big 10 Teams

Penn State has made 566 three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big 10 Teams

Penn State is shooting 36% from three (566/1,551) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (1,575 points/1,348 shots) this season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (538/1,348) this season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (185/586) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (538/1,348) this season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Penn State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Penn State has averaged 8.9 steals per game (204 steals/23 games) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Penn State has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (515 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.1

Penn State has averaged 8.9 steals per game (204 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Penn State has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (515 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.