Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 21

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Jacksonville State head coach Ray Harper yells to his players during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Tennessee, Saturday, Dec. 21, 2019, in Knoxville, Tenn. Tennessee won 75-53.
(AP Photo/Wade Payne)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 21, 2024, 10:02 AM
  • Jacksonville State (11-11) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Middle Tennessee (8-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 131.5 points
  • Middle Tennessee / Jacksonville State TV channel: ESPN+

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (8-16) visit Pete Mathews Coliseum to take on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks (11-11) on Feb. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Jacksonville, AL.

Jacksonville State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Middle Tennessee vs. Jacksonville State Over/Under is 131.5 total points.

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Middle Tennessee vs. Jacksonville State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Middle Tennessee+6.5 -110O 131.5 -110+240
Jacksonville State -6.5 -110U 131.5 -110-300

Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Jacksonville State will win this college basketball game with 73.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Middle Tennessee will cover the spread with 51.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Middle Tennessee has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 away games (+7.65 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.00 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+9.75 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 25 games (+4.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)

Middle Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Middle Tennessee has a 8-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-9.6 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • 9-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.45 Units / -31.71% ROI
  • 10-14 when betting the Over for -5.45 Units / -20.6% ROI
  • 14-10 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 11.39% ROI

Jacksonville State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Jacksonville State has a 11-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.1 Units / -4.35% ROI).

  • 9-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -6.73% ROI
  • 9-14 when betting the Over for -6.4 Units / -25.3% ROI
  • 14-9 when betting the Under for +4.1 Units / 16.21% ROI

Middle Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Middle Tennessee is shooting 28% from three (148/530) this season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Middle Tennessee has averaged 62.9 points per game (1,447 points/23 games) this season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0

Middle Tennessee has averaged 9.3 assists per game (214 assists/23 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Middle Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (214 assists/ 321 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Jacksonville State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Jacksonville State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (210 assists/ 223 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Atlantic Sun Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Jacksonville State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.8 (256 assists/ 302 TOs) this season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Jacksonville State has made 5.4 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Jacksonville State has a 35% free throw rate (720 free throw attempts/2,055 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 33%

Middle Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Middle Tennessee has averaged 22.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,251 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Middle Tennessee has 384 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th most among Conference USA Teams

Middle Tennessee has allowed 5.7 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Middle Tennessee has allowed 6.2 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Jacksonville State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Jacksonville State has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (167/445) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Atlantic Sun Teams ; League Avg: 34%

Jacksonville State has allowed 6.1 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Jacksonville State has allowed 64.9 points per game (1,493 points/23 games) this season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Jacksonville State has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (260/825) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 34%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.