Minnesota vs Michigan State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 18

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 18, 2024, 11:56 AM
  • Michigan State (9-7) is a -11.5 point favorite vs Minnesota (14-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
  • Minnesota / Michigan State TV channel: FS1

The Minnesota Golden Gophers (14-3) visit Breslin Center to take on the Michigan State Spartans (9-7) on Jan. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in East Lansing, MI.

Michigan State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-105).

The Minnesota vs. Michigan State Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

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Minnesota vs. Michigan State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Minnesota+11.5 -115O 141.5 -110+500
Michigan State -11.5 -105U 141.5 -110-700

Minnesota vs Michigan State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Michigan State will win this college basketball game with 85.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Minnesota vs Michigan State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 53.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+9.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Minnesota have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 32 games (+9.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Michigan State have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Michigan State have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+5.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+3.55 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+3.25 Units / 15% ROI)

Minnesota Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Minnesota has a 13-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+9.7 Units / -17.76% ROI).

  • 11-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.75 Units / -70.71% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting the Over for -1.9 Units / 8.33% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting the Under for +0.2 Units / -18.83% ROI

Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan State has a 9-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.3 Units / -17.76% ROI).

  • 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.7 Units / -70.71% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting the Over for -1.95 Units / 8.33% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting the Under for +0.25 Units / -18.83% ROI

Minnesota Offensive Stats & Trends:

Minnesota is shooting 63% from the free throw line (350/554) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 73%

Minnesota is shooting 64% from the free throw line (383/596) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Minnesota is shooting 64% from the free throw line (544/848) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 72%

Minnesota has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (326 assists/ 210 TOs) this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (308 assists/ 183 TOs) this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (372/973) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State has an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (158 assists/ 78 TOs) in the second half this season — tied for best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.4

Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (372/973) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Minnesota Defensive Stats & Trends:

Minnesota has averaged 5.8 steals per game (179 steals/31 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Minnesota has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (199/524) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%

Minnesota has averaged 5.4 steals per game (261 steals/48 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Minnesota has allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (117/303) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three (55/204) in the first half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 34% (166/494) in the first half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 41%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (126/416) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (177/596) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.