- Michigan State (16-14) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Minnesota (24-7)
- Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
- Minnesota / Michigan State TV channel: BTN
The Minnesota Golden Gophers (24-7) visit Target Center to take on the Michigan State Spartans (16-14) on Mar. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
Michigan State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Minnesota vs. Michigan State Over/Under is 136.5 total points.
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Minnesota vs. Michigan State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Minnesota | +6.5 -110 | O 136.5 -110 | +240 |
| Michigan State | -6.5 -110 | U 136.5 -110 | -300 |
Minnesota vs Michigan State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Michigan State will win this college basketball game with 73.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Minnesota vs Michigan State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Minnesota will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.
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Minnesota Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Minnesota have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 31 games (+15.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+4.10 Units / 4% ROI)
Michigan State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+5.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- Michigan State have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+4.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- Michigan State have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 21 games at home (+0.55 Units / 2% ROI)
Minnesota Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Minnesota has a 23-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+15.35 Units / 45.08% ROI).
- 17-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.1 Units / 3.74% ROI
- 17-14 when betting the Over for +1.55 Units / 4.54% ROI
- 14-17 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -13.8% ROI
Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Michigan State has a 16-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.6 Units / 1.76% ROI).
- 14-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.65 Units / -22.22% ROI
- 13-18 when betting the Over for -6.9 Units / -20.15% ROI
- 18-13 when betting the Under for +3.75 Units / 11.05% ROI
Minnesota Offensive Stats & Trends:
Minnesota is shooting 63% from the free throw line (385/614) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 73%
Minnesota is shooting 64% from the free throw line (607/946) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%
Minnesota is shooting 64% from the free throw line (416/649) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 72%
Minnesota is shooting 63% from the free throw line (177/280) in the second half this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 73%
Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Michigan State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (414 assists/ 237 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (413/1,076) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%
Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (142/372) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Michigan State has averaged 4.3 turnovers per game (103 turnovers/24 games) in the second half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.2
Minnesota Defensive Stats & Trends:
Minnesota has averaged 5.7 steals per game (195 steals/34 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4
Minnesota has averaged 5.4 steals per game (287 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.0
Minnesota has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (232/609) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%
Minnesota has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (58/184) in the second half this season — 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Michigan State has allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (1,575 points/1,348 shots) this season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (538/1,348) this season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (185/586) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (538/1,348) this season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 43%
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