Minnesota vs Northwestern Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 9

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Northwestern head coach Chris Collins coaches against Rutgers during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game, Sunday, March 5, 2023 in Piscataway, N.J. Northwestern won 65-53. (AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
(AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2024, 11:47 AM
  • Northwestern (16-12) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Minnesota (24-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
  • Minnesota / Northwestern TV channel: BTN

The Minnesota Golden Gophers (24-6) visit Welsh-Ryan Arena to take on the Northwestern Wildcats (16-12) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Evanston, IL.

Northwestern is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Minnesota vs. Northwestern Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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Minnesota vs. Northwestern Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Minnesota+3.5 -105O 140.5 -110+150
Northwestern -3.5 -115U 140.5 -110-185

Minnesota vs Northwestern Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Northwestern will win this college basketball game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Minnesota vs Northwestern Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Minnesota will cover the spread with 53.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Minnesota have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 31 games (+15.35 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+4.10 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 away games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+11.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+6.25 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Northwestern have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 33 games (+3.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+2.80 Units / 13% ROI)

Minnesota Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Minnesota has a 23-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+16.45 Units / 49.92% ROI).

  • 17-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 4.69% ROI
  • 16-14 when betting the Over for +0.55 Units / 1.66% ROI
  • 14-16 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -10.93% ROI

Northwestern Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northwestern has a 16-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.8 Units / 8.48% ROI).

  • 17-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.55 Units / 14.34% ROI
  • 17-12 when betting the Over for +3.75 Units / 11.35% ROI
  • 12-17 when betting the Under for -6.7 Units / -20.33% ROI

Minnesota Offensive Stats & Trends:

Minnesota is shooting 63% from the free throw line (385/614) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 73%

Minnesota is shooting 64% from the free throw line (607/946) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Minnesota is shooting 64% from the free throw line (416/649) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Minnesota is shooting 63% from the free throw line (177/280) in the second half this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 73%

Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (373 assists/ 211 TOs) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Northwestern has averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (540 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Northwestern has averaged 9.2 turnovers per game (211 turnovers/23 games) this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4

Northwestern has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (373 assists/ 211 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3

Minnesota Defensive Stats & Trends:

Minnesota has averaged 5.7 steals per game (195 steals/34 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Minnesota has averaged 5.4 steals per game (287 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.0

Minnesota has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (232/609) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%

Minnesota has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (58/184) in the second half this season — 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Northwestern Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (515 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.1

Northwestern has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (515 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Northwestern has 176 steals this season — 3rd most among Big 10 Teams

Northwestern has allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (1,406 points/1,044 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.25


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.