Mississippi State vs LSU Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 24

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The coach from LSU Tigers clapping his hands in encouragement
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 24, 2024, 11:37 AM
  • Mississippi State (13-12) is a -2.5 point favorite vs LSU (12-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
  • Mississippi State / LSU TV channel: SECN

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-12) visit Pete Maravich Assembly Center to take on the LSU Tigers (12-14) on Feb. 24. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Baton Rouge, LA.

Mississippi State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Mississippi State vs. LSU Over/Under is 145.5 total points.

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Mississippi State vs. LSU Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mississippi State-2.5 -110O 145.5 -110-145
LSU +2.5 -110U 145.5 -110+120

Mississippi State vs LSU Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Mississippi State will win this college basketball game with 57.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mississippi State vs LSU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts LSU will cover the spread with 58.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 28 games (+3.50 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.15 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+1.65 Units / 4% ROI)
  • LSU have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+3.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 26 games (+2.55 Units / 4% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+2.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+1.55 Units / 8% ROI)

Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi State has a 13-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.25 Units / -0.87% ROI).

  • 15-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.55 Units / 4.9% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -11.87% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting the Under for +0.85 Units / 2.98% ROI

LSU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

LSU has a 12-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.35 Units / -11.75% ROI).

  • 10-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 10.6% ROI
  • 13-13 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 13-13 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State is shooting 29% from three (341/1,183) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Mississippi State is shooting 65% from the free throw line (271/419) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 71%

Mississippi State is shooting 67% from the free throw line (750/1,126) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Mississippi State has averaged 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (717 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6

LSU Offensive Stats & Trends:

LSU has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (271 assists/ 294 TOs) this season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

LSU has averaged 13.4 turnovers per game (294 turnovers/22 games) this season — tied for 4th highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4

LSU has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (131 assists/ 141 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

LSU has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (271 assists/ 294 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has averaged 8.3 steals per game (466 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Mississippi State has averaged 8.3 steals per game (466 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Mississippi State has averaged 8.1 steals per game (179 steals/22 games) this season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Mississippi State has allowed 60.4 points per game (1,992 points/33 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 67.3

LSU Defensive Stats & Trends:

LSU has forced 13.7 turnovers per game (302 turnovers/22 games) this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 12.2

LSU has allowed 8.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.5

LSU has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (269/674) in the second half this season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 43%

LSU has allowed 35.3 points per game (776 points/22 games) in the first half this season — tied for 4th highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.