- Mississippi State (14-16) is a -4.5 point favorite vs LSU (13-18)
- Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
- Mississippi State / LSU TV channel: SECN
The Mississippi State Bulldogs (14-16) visit Bridgestone Arena to take on the LSU Tigers (13-18) on Mar. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Nashville, TN.
Mississippi State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-120).
The Mississippi State vs. LSU Over/Under is 145.5 total points.
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Mississippi State vs. LSU Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Mississippi State | -4.5 -120 | O 145.5 -115 | -225 |
| LSU | +4.5 +100 | U 145.5 -105 | +180 |
Mississippi State vs LSU Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Mississippi State will win this college basketball game with 68.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Mississippi State vs LSU Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts LSU will cover the spread with 54.1% confidence for today’s game.
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Mississippi State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 away games (+1.55 Units / 17% ROI)
LSU Basketball Best Bets Today:
- LSU has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+8.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- LSU has hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- LSU has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- LSU have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.30 Units / 18% ROI)
Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Mississippi State has a 14-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.65 Units / -10.69% ROI).
- 16-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -0.74% ROI
- 16-15 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -1.46% ROI
- 15-16 when betting the Under for -2.55 Units / -7.49% ROI
LSU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
LSU has a 13-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.75 Units / -19.85% ROI).
- 13-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.55 Units / 10.67% ROI
- 16-15 when betting the Over for -0.55 Units / -1.61% ROI
- 15-16 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -7.64% ROI
Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State is shooting 29% from three (341/1,183) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%
Mississippi State is shooting 65% from the free throw line (271/419) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 71%
Mississippi State is shooting 67% from the free throw line (750/1,126) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%
Mississippi State has averaged 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (717 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6
LSU Offensive Stats & Trends:
LSU has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (271 assists/ 294 TOs) this season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
LSU has averaged 13.4 turnovers per game (294 turnovers/22 games) this season — tied for 4th highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4
LSU has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (131 assists/ 141 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.3
LSU has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (271 assists/ 294 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3
Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State has averaged 8.3 steals per game (466 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Mississippi State has averaged 8.3 steals per game (466 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.2
Mississippi State has averaged 8.1 steals per game (179 steals/22 games) this season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Mississippi State has allowed 60.4 points per game (1,992 points/33 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 67.3
LSU Defensive Stats & Trends:
LSU has forced 13.7 turnovers per game (302 turnovers/22 games) this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 12.2
LSU has allowed 8.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.5
LSU has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (269/674) in the second half this season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 43%
LSU has allowed 35.3 points per game (776 points/22 games) in the first half this season — tied for 4th highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33.7
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