Mississippi State vs Missouri Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 10, 2024, 11:09 AM
  • Mississippi State (11-11) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Missouri (5-18)
  • Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
  • Mississippi State / Missouri TV channel: SECN

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (11-11) visit Mizzou Arena to take on the Missouri Tigers (5-18) on Feb. 10. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Columbia, MO.

Mississippi State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Mississippi State vs. Missouri Over/Under is 139.5 total points.

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Mississippi State vs. Missouri Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mississippi State-6.5 -110O 139.5 -110-275
Missouri +6.5 -110U 139.5 -110+230

Mississippi State vs Missouri Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Mississippi State will win this college basketball game with 73.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mississippi State vs Missouri Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Missouri will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+2.55 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 33 games (+2.55 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 games (+1.30 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 12 away games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+1.80 Units / 8% ROI)

Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi State has a 11-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.15 Units / -4.54% ROI).

  • 12-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 1.95% ROI
  • 11-12 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -8.68% ROI
  • 12-11 when betting the Under for -0.05 Units / -0.2% ROI

Missouri Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri has a 5-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-13.7 Units / -54.15% ROI).

  • 5-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.8 Units / -18.39% ROI
  • 11-12 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -8.7% ROI
  • 12-11 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -0.4% ROI

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State is shooting 29% from three (341/1,183) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Mississippi State is shooting 67% from the free throw line (750/1,126) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 72%

Mississippi State is shooting 29% from three (341/1,183) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Mississippi State is shooting 65% from the free throw line (271/419) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 72%

Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri has a 28% free throw rate (374 free throw attempts/1,351 field goal attempts) this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%

Missouri has made 8.7 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Missouri has a TS% of 50% since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Missouri has averaged 10.8 turnovers per game (216 turnovers/20 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 12.2

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (599 rebounds/22 games) this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Mississippi State has allowed 60.4 points per game (1,992 points/33 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 67.3

Mississippi State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (411/1,349) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Mississippi State has averaged 7.4 steals per game (171 steals/23 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Missouri Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri has averaged 21.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,267 rebounds/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.6

Missouri has allowed an average of 1.38 points per shot (1,495 points/1,083 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Missouri has averaged 9.3 steals per game (540 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Missouri has allowed an average of 1.26 points per shot (2,080 points/1,653 shots) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.11


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.