Missouri vs Arkansas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 24, 2024, 10:20 AM
  • Arkansas (8-18) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Missouri (7-19)
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Missouri / Arkansas TV channel: ESPN2

The Missouri Tigers (7-19) visit Bud Walton Arena to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks (8-18) on Feb. 24. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Fayetteville, AR.

Arkansas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Missouri vs. Arkansas Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Missouri vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Missouri+4.5 -110O 146.5 -110+165
Arkansas -4.5 -110U 146.5 -110-200

Missouri vs Arkansas Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Arkansas will win this college basketball game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Missouri vs Arkansas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Missouri will cover the spread with 51.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Missouri has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+0.95 Units / 5% ROI)

Missouri Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri has a 7-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-12.8 Units / -44.76% ROI).

  • 5-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.8 Units / -22.04% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -11.89% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 2.8% ROI

Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas has a 8-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-11.9 Units / -41.46% ROI).

  • 11-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.75 Units / -8.24% ROI
  • 18-8 when betting the Over for +9.2 Units / 32.17% ROI
  • 8-18 when betting the Under for -11.8 Units / -41.26% ROI

Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri has 16.3 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Missouri has a 28% free throw rate (374 free throw attempts/1,351 field goal attempts) this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%

Missouri has a 30% free throw rate (677 free throw attempts/2,279 field goal attempts) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%

Missouri is shooting 77% from the free throw line (523/677) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 72%

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has 26.6 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 19.9

Arkansas has a 46% free throw rate (558 free throw attempts/1,209 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 33%

Arkansas has a 42% free throw rate (1,368 free throw attempts/3,271 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Arkansas has a 42% free throw rate (1,368 free throw attempts/3,271 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 32%

Missouri Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (515 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.1

Missouri has allowed an average of 1.26 points per shot (2,080 points/1,653 shots) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.11

Missouri has averaged 9.3 steals per game (540 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Missouri has averaged 21.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,267 rebounds/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.6

Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has averaged 5.5 steals per game (116 steals/21 games) this season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Arkansas has allowed an average of 1.37 points per shot (900 points/655 shots) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Arkansas has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (84/225) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 31%

Arkansas has allowed 42.9 points per game (900 points/21 games) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 38.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.