Missouri vs Florida Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 28, 2024, 11:14 AM
  • Florida (13-13) is a -12.5 point favorite vs Missouri (7-20)
  • Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
  • Missouri / Florida TV channel: SECN

The Missouri Tigers (7-20) visit Stephen C. O’Connell Center to take on the Florida Gators (13-13) on Feb. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Gainesville, FL.

Florida is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-115).

The Missouri vs. Florida Over/Under is 154.5 total points.

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Missouri vs. Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Missouri+12.5 -105O 154.5 -115+700
Florida -12.5 -115U 154.5 -105-1100

Missouri vs Florida Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Florida will win this college basketball game with 89.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Missouri vs Florida Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Florida will cover the spread with 51.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Missouri has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Missouri have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.25 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 26 games (+5.00 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Florida have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+3.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+0.65 Units / 3% ROI)

Missouri Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri has a 7-19 record against the spread this college basketball season (-13.85 Units / -46.71% ROI).

  • 5-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.8 Units / -23.18% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -8.08% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -1.01% ROI

Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida has a 13-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.35 Units / -4.54% ROI).

  • 14-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 7.85% ROI
  • 15-11 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 9.76% ROI
  • 11-15 when betting the Under for -5.5 Units / -18.52% ROI

Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri has 16.3 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Missouri has a 28% free throw rate (374 free throw attempts/1,351 field goal attempts) this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%

Missouri has a 30% free throw rate (677 free throw attempts/2,279 field goal attempts) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%

Missouri is shooting 77% from the free throw line (523/677) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 72%

Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida has averaged 16.0 offensive rebounds per game (369 rebounds/23 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Florida has averaged 16.0 offensive rebounds per game (369 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.0

Florida has 24.5 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Florida has averaged 84.7 points per game (1,949 points/23 games) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 76.1

Missouri Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (515 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.1

Missouri has allowed an average of 1.26 points per shot (2,080 points/1,653 shots) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.11

Missouri has averaged 9.3 steals per game (540 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Missouri has averaged 21.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,267 rebounds/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.6

Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida has averaged 28.5 defensive rebounds per game (655 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Florida has averaged 6.8 steals per game (382 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Florida has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,524 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Florida has averaged 6.8 steals per game (237 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.