Missouri vs LSU Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 9

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The coach from LSU Tigers clapping his hands in encouragement
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2024, 11:47 AM
  • LSU (13-17) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Missouri (8-22)
  • Total (Over/Under): 151.5 points
  • Missouri / LSU TV channel: SECN

The Missouri Tigers (8-22) visit Pete Maravich Assembly Center to take on the LSU Tigers (13-17) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Baton Rouge, LA.

LSU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (+100).

The Missouri vs. LSU Over/Under is 151.5 total points.

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Missouri vs. LSU Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Missouri+7.5 -120O 151.5 -115+260
LSU -7.5 +100U 151.5 -105-350

Missouri vs LSU Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts LSU will win this college basketball game with 75.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Missouri vs LSU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Missouri will cover the spread with 52.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Missouri has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Missouri have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.25 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 26 games (+4.55 Units / 8% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • LSU have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Team Total Under in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)

Missouri Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri has a 8-21 record against the spread this college basketball season (-15.05 Units / -45.68% ROI).

  • 5-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.8 Units / -26.42% ROI
  • 16-14 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI
  • 14-16 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -10.91% ROI

LSU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

LSU has a 13-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.65 Units / -17.17% ROI).

  • 12-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 9.52% ROI
  • 15-15 when betting the Over for -1.55 Units / -4.69% ROI
  • 15-15 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri has 16.3 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Missouri has a 28% free throw rate (374 free throw attempts/1,351 field goal attempts) this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%

Missouri has a 30% free throw rate (677 free throw attempts/2,279 field goal attempts) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%

Missouri is shooting 77% from the free throw line (523/677) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 72%

LSU Offensive Stats & Trends:

LSU has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (271 assists/ 294 TOs) this season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

LSU has averaged 13.4 turnovers per game (294 turnovers/22 games) this season — tied for 4th highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4

LSU has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (131 assists/ 141 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

LSU has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (271 assists/ 294 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3

Missouri Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (515 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.1

Missouri has allowed an average of 1.26 points per shot (2,080 points/1,653 shots) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.11

Missouri has averaged 9.3 steals per game (540 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Missouri has averaged 21.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,267 rebounds/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.6

LSU Defensive Stats & Trends:

LSU has forced 13.7 turnovers per game (302 turnovers/22 games) this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 12.2

LSU has allowed 8.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.5

LSU has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (269/674) in the second half this season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 43%

LSU has allowed 35.3 points per game (776 points/22 games) in the first half this season — tied for 4th highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.