Missouri State vs Evansville Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 13

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 13, 2024, 10:21 AM
  • Missouri State (8-7) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Evansville (10-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
  • Missouri State / Evansville TV channel: ESPN+

The Missouri State Bears (8-7) visit Ford Center to take on the Evansville Purple Aces (10-5) on Jan. 13. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Evansville, IN.

Missouri State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Missouri State vs. Evansville Over/Under is 143.5 total points.

Bet now on Evansville vs Missouri State & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Missouri State vs. Evansville Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Missouri State-4.5 -105O 143.5 -105-185
Evansville +4.5 -115U 143.5 -115+150

Missouri State vs Evansville Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Missouri State will win this college basketball game with 63.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Missouri State vs Evansville Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Evansville will cover the spread with 58.1% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on Evansville vs Missouri State and all games with BetMGM


  • Missouri State has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games (+9.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Evansville has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Evansville has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games at home (+3.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Evansville has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.75 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Evansville have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Evansville has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+0.95 Units / 6% ROI)

Missouri State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri State has a 7-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.7 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.5 Units / 0% ROI
  • 7-8 when betting the Over for -1.8 Units / 0% ROI
  • 8-7 when betting the Under for +0.3 Units / 0% ROI

Evansville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Evansville has a 10-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.5 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 9-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +7 Units / 0% ROI
  • 6-9 when betting the Over for -3.9 Units / 0% ROI
  • 9-6 when betting the Under for +2.45 Units / 0% ROI

Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State has 477 defensive rebounds this season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Missouri State has averaged 67.3 points per game (3,230 points/48 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.4

Missouri State is shooting 31% from three (122/389) this season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Missouri State is shooting 71% from the free throw line (224/315) this season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 72%

Evansville Offensive Stats & Trends:

Evansville has averaged 1.14 points per shot (3,227 points/2,828 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Evansville has a TS% of 44% since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Evansville is shooting 42% (1,190/2,828) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Evansville has made 6.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 36th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (96/345) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 32%

Missouri State has forced 9.7 turnovers per game (155 turnovers/16 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Missouri State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (96/345) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Missouri State has allowed an average of 1.08 points per shot (1,102 points/1,020 shots) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.19

Evansville Defensive Stats & Trends:

Evansville has 112 steals this season — 3rd most among Missouri Valley Teams

Evansville has averaged 7.0 steals per game (112 steals/16 games) this season — 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Evansville has averaged 7.0 steals per game (336 steals/48 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Evansville has allowed 9.1 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3


Bet now on Evansville vs Missouri State and all games with BetMGM


College Basketball Betting at BetMGM

At the best online sportsbook, you can bet on updated college basketball betting odds, including parlays and live sports betting. The best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

Log in to your account now for updated sportsbook promos in your state. If you don’t have an account, check out BetMGM’s welcome offer.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.