Missouri State vs Illinois State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 28, 2024, 12:26 PM
  • Illinois State (14-14) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Missouri State (14-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Missouri State / Illinois State TV channel: ESPN+

The Missouri State Bears (14-14) visit CEFCU Arena to take on the Illinois State Redbirds (14-14) on Feb. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Normal, IL.

Illinois State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Missouri State vs. Illinois State Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Missouri State vs. Illinois State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Missouri State+4.5 -110O 135.5 -110+160
Illinois State -4.5 -110U 135.5 -110-190

Missouri State vs Illinois State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Illinois State will win this college basketball game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Missouri State vs Illinois State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Missouri State will cover the spread with 54.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Missouri State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 29 games (+3.75 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+2.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+1.95 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 30 games (+0.60 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Illinois State has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 29 games (+4.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Illinois State has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Illinois State has hit the Game Total Over in their last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 91% ROI)

Missouri State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri State has a 13-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.4 Units / -7.78% ROI).

  • 13-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.75 Units / 5.65% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Under for -3.45 Units / -11.22% ROI

Illinois State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois State has a 14-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.35 Units / -4.39% ROI).

  • 13-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.65 Units / 10.42% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting the Over for -4.4 Units / -14.33% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 5.83% ROI

Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State has 602 offensive rebounds since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Missouri State has averaged 68.1 points per game (3,812 points/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.5

Missouri State is shooting 31% from three (174/556) this season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Missouri State has averaged 11.8 assists per game (658 assists/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Illinois State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois State is shooting 28% from three (141/508) this season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Illinois State has averaged 66.0 points per game (3,697 points/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.5

Illinois State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.8 (628 assists/ 744 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Illinois State has averaged 65.4 points per game (1,570 points/24 games) this season — 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0

Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State has forced 10.8 turnovers per game (605 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Missouri State has averaged 29.4 defensive rebounds per game (706 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Missouri State has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (1,703 points/1,501 shots) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Missouri State has averaged 4.5 steals per game (108 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Illinois State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois State has averaged 5.8 steals per game (324 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Illinois State has allowed 67.5 points per game (1,621 points/24 games) this season — 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 70.3

Illinois State has allowed an average of 1.23 points per shot (1,621 points/1,316 shots) this season — 5th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Illinois State has forced 11.3 turnovers per game (635 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.