Missouri State vs Northern Iowa Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 7

(AP Photo)
  • Northern Iowa (10-12) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Missouri State (13-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
  • Missouri State / Northern Iowa TV channel: ESPN+

The Missouri State Bears (13-9) visit McLeod Center to take on the Northern Iowa Panthers (10-12) on Feb. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Cedar Falls, IA.

Northern Iowa is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Missouri State vs. Northern Iowa Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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Missouri State vs. Northern Iowa Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Missouri State+4.5 -110O 138.5 -110+165
Northern Iowa -4.5 -110U 138.5 -110-200

Missouri State vs Northern Iowa Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Northern Iowa will win this college basketball game with 66.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Missouri State vs Northern Iowa Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Missouri State will cover the spread with 54.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Missouri State has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 games (+10.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Missouri State have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 30 games (+2.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Northern Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Northern Iowa has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 30 games (+0.55 Units / 2% ROI)

Missouri State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri State has a 12-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.1 Units / 8.66% ROI).

  • 12-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.75 Units / 14.73% ROI
  • 11-11 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 11-11 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Northern Iowa Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northern Iowa has a 10-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.2 Units / -13.25% ROI).

  • 11-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -6.31% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting the Over for -3.25 Units / -13.43% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting the Under for +0.95 Units / 3.93% ROI

Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State has 582 offensive rebounds since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Missouri State is shooting 33% from three (418/1,288) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Missouri State is shooting 32% from three (164/521) this season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Missouri State has attempted 521 threes this season — 5th most among Missouri Valley Teams

Northern Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (272 assists/ 240 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Northern Iowa has averaged 7.5 offensive rebounds per game (166 rebounds/22 games) this season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Northern Iowa is shooting 71% from the free throw line (314/441) this season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 72%

Northern Iowa has averaged 10.9 turnovers per game (240 turnovers/22 games) this season — 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State has forced 9.7 turnovers per game (214 turnovers/22 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Missouri State has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (1,558 points/1,378 shots) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Missouri State has averaged 29.3 defensive rebounds per game (644 rebounds/22 games) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Missouri State has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (571/1,378) this season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Northern Iowa Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Iowa has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (175/518) this season — tied for 4th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%

Northern Iowa has forced 11.4 turnovers per game (251 turnovers/22 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Northern Iowa has allowed 71.1 points per game (1,565 points/22 games) this season — 5th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 70.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.