Missouri State vs Southern Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 31

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A team manager in a dress shirt and tie clapping his hands in encouragement
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 31, 2024, 11:14 AM
  • Southern Illinois (14-5) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Missouri State (11-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Missouri State / Southern Illinois TV channel: ESPN+

The Missouri State Bears (11-9) visit Banterra Center to take on the Southern Illinois Salukis (14-5) on Jan. 31. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Carbondale, IL.

Southern Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Missouri State vs. Southern Illinois Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Missouri State vs. Southern Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Missouri State+5.5 -110O 135.5 -110+200
Southern Illinois -5.5 -110U 135.5 -110-250

Missouri State vs Southern Illinois Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Southern Illinois will win this college basketball game with 70.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Missouri State vs Southern Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Missouri State will cover the spread with 53.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Missouri State has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games (+7.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+3.45 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+5.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+2.85 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+1.95 Units / 2% ROI)

Missouri State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri State has a 10-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.1 Units / 0.45% ROI).

  • 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.95 Units / 10.07% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting the Over for -3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting the Under for +1.1 Units / 5% ROI

Southern Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Southern Illinois has a 14-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+8.5 Units / 38.64% ROI).

  • 13-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.07% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting the Over for +0.1 Units / 0.45% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting the Under for -2 Units / -9.09% ROI

Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State has a 33% free throw rate (379 free throw attempts/1,157 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 32%

Missouri State has averaged 12.4 turnovers per game (248 turnovers/20 games) this season — tied for 2nd highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Missouri State has averaged 70.8 points per game (1,415 points/20 games) this season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Missouri State has averaged 67.6 points per game (3,513 points/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 71.3

Southern Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Southern Illinois has averaged 7.4 offensive rebounds per game (402 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6

Southern Illinois is shooting 37% from three (172/464) this season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Southern Illinois is shooting 37% from three (172/464) this season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 35%

Southern Illinois has averaged 14.3 assists per game (301 assists/21 games) this season — 5th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 13.9

Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State has allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (1,403 points/1,258 shots) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.20

Missouri State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (134/440) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%

Missouri State has forced 9.6 turnovers per game (191 turnovers/20 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Missouri State has averaged 29.4 defensive rebounds per game (587 rebounds/20 games) this season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.8

Southern Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Southern Illinois has allowed 64.5 points per game (1,354 points/21 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 69.9

Southern Illinois has allowed 5.0 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Southern Illinois has averaged 5.6 steals per game (118 steals/21 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Southern Illinois has averaged 6.6 steals per game (356 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.