Angels vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 11

Houston Astros' Jose Altuve bats during the first inning of a spring training baseball game against the St. Louis Cardinals, Monday, March 6, 2023, in Jupiter, Fla. (AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)
(AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)
  • The Astros are -150 favorites vs the Angels
  • Angels vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Angels / Astros TV Channel: FDW | SCHN

The Los Angeles Angels (+120) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-145) on Friday, April 11, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Angels are 8-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 5-7 ATS.

Angels vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Angels starting pitcher: Jack Kochanowicz 1-0, 3.18 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 0-1, 9.46 ERA

Angels vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Angels+1.5 -185O 8.5 -102+120
Astros -1.5 +150U 8.5 -118-145

Angels vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Kyren Paris has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+35.00 Units / 500% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Nolan Schanuel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.45 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Nolan Schanuel has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Jack Kochanowicz has hit the Walks Allowed Under in his last 7 away games (+7.35 Units / 76% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jose Altuve has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+22.00 Units / 275% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.15 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games (+9.90 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+8.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.45 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 46 of their last 83 away games (+7.05 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 91 of their last 162 games (+18.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 82 of their last 162 games (+2.45 Units / 1% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Angels are 7-5 against the Run Line (+0.65 Units / 3.68% ROI).

  • 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.65 Units / 34.07% ROI
  • 8-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.7 Units / 27.61% ROI
  • 4-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.5 Units / -34.62% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 5-7 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units / -15.45% ROI).

  • 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -22.94% ROI
  • 4-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.8 Units / -21.05% ROI
  • 6-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.45 Units / 11.07% ROI

Astros vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +300 0.5 -375
Mike Trout (LAA) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Jorge Soler (LAA) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Christian Walker (HOU) 0.5 +450 0.5 -625

Astros vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Jeremy Pena (HOU) 0.5 -235 0.5 +180
Christian Walker (HOU) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Luis Rengifo (LAA) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Isaac Paredes (HOU) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Astros vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Christian Walker (HOU) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Mike Trout (LAA) 0.5 +165 0.5 -220
Jorge Soler (LAA) 0.5 +165 0.5 -220
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +175 0.5 -225

Astros vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ronel Blanco (HOU) 5.5 -150 5.5 +115

Jack Kochanowicz struck out just 7% (11/156) of left-handed batters he faced in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.

Jack Kochanowicz has induced opposing hitters to ground into 17 double plays in 60 opportunities (28%) since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.

Jack Kochanowicz has struck out just 9% (17/188) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.

Jack Kochanowicz induced opposing hitters to ground into 16 double plays in 56 opportunities (29%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ronel Blanco has walked 36 of 288 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Opponents batted just .147 (33-for-225) against Ronel Blanco when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 100th Percentile.

Ronel Blanco walked 33 of 270 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .195 (122-for-626) against Ronel Blanco since last season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 96th Percentile.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Angels are 7-0 (1.000) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .700.

The Angels are just 34-50 (.405) at home since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.

The Angels are just 121-13 (.903) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.

The Angels are just 42-60 (.412) after a loss since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .503.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Astros were just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are 45-42 (.517) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Angels (28th best runs scored) today.

The Astros were 50-37 (.575) after a win in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .496.

The Angels scored first in just 25% of their home games last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

The Angels are batting .360 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .237.

Angels hitters have an OPS of 1.605 (22 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .715.

Angels hitters are slugging .598 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.

The Astros are batting just .091 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .227.

Astros hitters are slugging just .091 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .376.

The Astros are hitless in 4 AB’s against LHP this month (2 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .228.

Astros hitters have an OPS of just .000 (4 PA’s) against LHP this month (2 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .674.

Angels pitchers walked 601 of 6,147 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 290 of 2,978 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 649 of 6,598 batters (10%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers walked 135 of 1,436 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% this month (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Batters facing the Astros pitchers put just 30% of their swings in play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.