- The Astros are -200 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Angels / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | BSW
The Los Angeles Angels (+165) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-200) on Monday, May 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Angels are 18-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 20-27 ATS.
Angels vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Angels starting pitcher: Reid Detmers 3-4, 5.16 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 3-1, 2.97 ERA
Angels vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -120 | O 8.5 -110 | +165 |
| Astros | -1.5 +100 | U 8.5 -110 | -200 |
Angels vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Monday‘s MLB game with 63.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Taylor Ward has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 23 away games (+25.90 Units / 113% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 23 away games (+13.50 Units / 59% ROI)
- Kevin Pillar has hit the Runs Over in his last 7 games (+11.30 Units / 161% ROI)
- Zach Neto has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 29 games (+10.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- Kevin Pillar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 10 games (+10.35 Units / 79% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 20 games (+21.35 Units / 107% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 45 games (+20.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 25 games at home (+19.20 Units / 47% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 45 games (+15.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 45 games (+14.30 Units / 27% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 47 games (+10.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 46 games (+6.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 24 games (+5.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 50% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 47 games (+9.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+7.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 56% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 25-22 against the Run Line (-7.7 Units / -10.77% ROI).
- 18-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -15.82% ROI
- 25-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.8 Units / 5.38% ROI
- 20-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.45 Units / -14.49% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 20-27 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -11.63% ROI).
- 21-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.35 Units / -18.81% ROI
- 18-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.25 Units / -19.96% ROI
- 26-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.2 Units / 11.9% ROI
Astros vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Astros vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Astros vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Astros vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Framber Valdez (HOU) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
| Reid Detmers (LAA) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 48% (36/75) against Reid Detmers when he’s behind in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
5 of Reid Detmers’ breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 3rd most among in MLB; League Avg: nan — 94th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 48% (36/75) against Reid Detmers when he’s behind in the count this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 31% (130/421) against Reid Detmers this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 92nd Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Framber Valdez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .296 (162 Total Bases / 548 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .374 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 81% (30/37) against Framber Valdez over the last 14 days — highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (68/101) against Framber Valdez this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 85% (22/26) against Framber Valdez when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Angels are just 74-15 (.831) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Angels are just 79-10 (.888) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Angels are just 16-25 (.390) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 103-44 (.701) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Astros are 89-17 (.840) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Astros are 125-89 (.584) after a win since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Astros are 154-21 (.880) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Astros are 64-44 (.593) after a road win since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .276 (1,085 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Angels have a winning percentage of just 27% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
The Angels have a winning percentage of just 43% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Angels have a winning percentage of just 38% this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 736 strikeouts in 4,174 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,919/14,106 PA’s) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Astros hitters have just 2,001 strikeouts in 9,932 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 1,143 strikeouts in 5,728 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have an ERA of 5.59 (198.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.86.
Angels pitchers have walked 195 of 1,854 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 45 of 420 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 1,350 of 14,130 batters (10%) since the 2022 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 58% of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Astros pitchers have walked 188 of 1,807 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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