- Angels / Guardians TV Channel: BSW | BSGL
The Los Angeles Angels (-110) visit Goodyear Ballpark to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-110) on Saturday, March 9, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Goodyear, AZ.
This season, the Angels are 8-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 3-6 ATS.
Angels vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Angels | -110 |
| Guardians | -110 |
Angels vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Saturday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Singles Over in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Mike Moustakas has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.85 Units / 79% ROI)
- Trey Cabbage has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Michael Stefanic has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Myles Straw has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jose Tena has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.90 Units / 83% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.72 Units / 28% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 76 games at home (+22.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 120 games (+6.20 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 62 games at home (+4.25 Units / 5% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Angels are 8-3 against the Run Line (+5.67 Units / 46.02% ROI).
- 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.41 Units / 55.42% ROI
- 3-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.76 Units / -47.56% ROI
- 8-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.75 Units / 39.29% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Guardians are 3-6 against the Run Line (-4.38 Units / -35.12% ROI).
- 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.64 Units / -32.73% ROI
- 5-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.65 Units / 16.92% ROI
- 3-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.68 Units / -26.67% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Anderson threw his changeup 32% of the time (199/629) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson threw his changeup 41% of the time (771/1,886) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 13% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has averaged 89.9 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — sixth Percentile.
Tyler Anderson threw his changeup 32% of the time (554/1,710) in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 24% (19/80) against Logan Allen on breaking pitches in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 98th Percentile.
Logan Allen allowed a slugging percentage of just .231 (24 Total Bases / 104 ABs) on changeups in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .380 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 24% (19/80) against Logan Allen on sliders in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 98th Percentile.
Logan Allen allowed a slugging percentage of just .311 (70 Total Bases / 225 ABs) on non-fastballs in the 2023 season — 15th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .386 — 87th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Angels were just 29-23 (.558) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Angels are just 8-136 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Angels were just 61-7 (.897) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Angels are just 14-22 (.389) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Guardians are 34-114 (.230) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .129.
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians were 18-57 (.240) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels batted just .235 at home in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Angels hitters had an OBP of just .309 (2,984 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
The Angels batted just .223 with two outs in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Angels hitters had an OBP of just .269 (485 PA’s) against pitchers who had thrown at least 80 pitches in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Guardians hitters struck out just 1,142 times in 6,096 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters slugged just .367 against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers walked 150 of 1,434 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Angels pitchers in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Angels pitchers walked 636 of 6,305 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Angels pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games at home in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Guardians pitchers won only 19% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed the 28th hardest ball in play hit (119.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
Guardians pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 100 times since last season — tied for 2nd fewest in MLB.
Guardians vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gabriel Arias (Cleveland Guardians): Wrist, Out
- Logan Allen (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kyren Paris (Los Angeles Angels): Thumb, Out
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Jose Cisnero (Los Angeles Angels): Not Injury Related, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, Out
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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