- The Guardians are -175 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Angels / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | BSW | MLBN
The Los Angeles Angels (+150) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-185) on Friday, May 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Angels are 11-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 21-10 ATS.
Angels vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Angels starting pitcher: Jose Soriano 0-4, 4.84 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 2-0, 3.49 ERA
Angels vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -145 | O 7.5 -110 | +150 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +120 | U 7.5 -110 | -185 |
Angels vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Friday‘s MLB game with 59.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Taylor Ward has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 15 away games (+22.60 Units / 151% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+13.25 Units / 88% ROI)
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.65 Units / 79% ROI)
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.95 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Will Brennan has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+22.70 Units / 252% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+12.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 30 games (+11.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.75 Units / 70% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+9.80 Units / 24% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.72 Units / 28% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 69 games at home (+17.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 120 games (+6.20 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 62 games at home (+4.25 Units / 5% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 15-16 against the Run Line (-7.65 Units / -16.49% ROI).
- 11-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.15 Units / -25.27% ROI
- 17-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 6.8% ROI
- 13-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.7 Units / -16.94% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 21-10 against the Run Line (+11.25 Units / 27.81% ROI).
- 20-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.52 Units / 23.78% ROI
- 17-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.85 Units / 11.27% ROI
- 12-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.7 Units / -19.68% ROI
Guardians vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brandon Drury (LAA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Mickey Moniak (LAA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Guardians vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Luis Rengifo (LAA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Guardians vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brandon Drury (LAA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Guardians vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .089 (11-for-124) against Jose Soriano with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best among in MLB; League Avg: .160 — 97th Percentile.
Jose Soriano has walked 19 of 158 right-handed batters (12%) since last season — 10th highest among in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 11th Percentile.
9 of Jose Soriano’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since last season — tied for 4th most among in MLB; League Avg: nan — 96th Percentile.
Jose Soriano has allowed a slugging percentage of just .161 (20 Total Bases / 124 ABs) with two-strikes since last season — 9th best among in MLB; League Avg: .246 — 90th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .435 (10-for-23) against Tanner Bibee’s elevated fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .206 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 0% (0/15) against Tanner Bibee when behind in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has a strikeout rate of just 11% (3 SO in 27 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — ninth Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has allowed a slugging percentage of .600 (9 Total Bases / 15 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .325 — eighth Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Angels are just 57-29 (.663) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .786.
The Angels are just 72-9 (.889) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Angels are just 137-13 (.913) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Angels are just 72-47 (.605) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Guardians are just 10-17 (.370) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are just 9-17 (.346) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 19-65 (.226) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Guardians are 46-50 (.479) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .274 (1,029 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Angels have won just 30% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 78%.
The Angels are batting just .240 against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Angels hitters have 2,514 strikeouts in 9,721 PA’s (26%) against RHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians are batting just .229 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Guardians hitters have just 1,757 strikeouts in 9,654 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
The Guardians have barrels in 4% of PA’s since the 2022 season (483/13,453) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 184 of 1,709 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 9% of innings played this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Angels pitchers have walked 306 of 3,149 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 60 of 480 batters (12%) over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Guardians pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Guardians vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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