- The Guardians are -135 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Angels / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | BSW | MLBN
The Los Angeles Angels (+115) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-135) on Sunday, May 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Angels are 12-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 22-11 ATS.
Angels vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Angels starting pitcher: Griffin Canning 1-3, 7.46 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco 1-2, 6.59 ERA
Angels vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -185 | O 8 -105 | +115 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +150 | U 8 -115 | -135 |
Angels vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Taylor Ward has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 17 away games (+20.60 Units / 121% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 17 away games (+14.20 Units / 84% ROI)
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.10 Units / 62% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.95 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Will Brennan has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+21.70 Units / 217% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+11.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+11.75 Units / 71% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 32 games (+9.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games at home (+9.10 Units / 74% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.72 Units / 28% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 69 games at home (+17.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 120 games (+6.20 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 62 games at home (+4.25 Units / 5% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 16-17 against the Run Line (-8.5 Units / -17.15% ROI).
- 12-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.45 Units / -21.75% ROI
- 18-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 6.41% ROI
- 14-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.8 Units / -16.13% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 22-11 against the Run Line (+11.85 Units / 27.92% ROI).
- 21-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.52 Units / 19.66% ROI
- 18-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.85 Units / 10.62% ROI
- 13-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.8 Units / -18.71% ROI
Guardians vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mickey Moniak (LAA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Brandon Drury (LAA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Bo Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Guardians vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Brandon Drury (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
Guardians vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Brandon Drury (LAA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Willie Calhoun (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Guardians vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Griffin Canning has thrown his fastball for a strike just 50% (100/201) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 0 Percentile.
Griffin Canning has not struck out any hitters in 22 PA’s in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Griffin Canning has allowed an OPS of 1.221 (54 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .685 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 53% (93/174) against Griffin Canning when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 0 Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .729 (102 Total Bases / 140 ABs) on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: .429 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .890 (154 Total Bases / 173 ABs) when behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: .598 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .486 (84-for-173) against Carlos Carrasco when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: .337 — first Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed an OBP of .402 (219 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .313 — 0 Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Angels are just 58-29 (.667) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .786.
The Angels are just 68-13 (.840) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Angels are just 98-42 (.700) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Angels are just 73-9 (.890) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Guardians are 24-130 (.156) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Guardians are 19-66 (.224) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Guardians are 35-123 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .132.
The Guardians are just 10-17 (.370) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels have won just 36% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 78%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .273 (1,036 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .307 (3,574 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Angels have a winning percentage of just 27% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put 45% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Guardians are batting just .222 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .329.
Guardians hitters have just 1,761 strikeouts in 9,687 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have just 2,515 strikeouts in 13,523 PA’s (19%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 187 of 1,726 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 13 of 106 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Angels pitchers have walked 130 of 1,258 batters (10%) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels pitchers have walked 309 of 3,166 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .188 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Guardians pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Guardians vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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