- The Padres are -190 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels vs Padres Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Angels / Padres TV Channel: FDW | PDTV
The Los Angeles Angels (+155) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-190) on Wednesday, May 14, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA, CA.
This season, the Angels are 17-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 25-16 ATS.
Angels vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Angels starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks 1-4, 5.40 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 2-3, 3.79 ERA
Angels vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Angels | +1.5 -135 | O 9 -120 | +155 |
Padres | -1.5 +110 | U 9 +100 | -190 |
Angels vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 61.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Zach Neto has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+13.40 Units / 223% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 20 away games (+9.15 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Elias Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+20.40 Units / 204% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+11.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Randy Vasquez has hit the Strikeouts Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.80 Units / 29% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.62 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.59 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.58 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+1.20 Units / 10% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+12.10 Units / 57% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+9.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+8.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+7.70 Units / 28% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 16-25 against the Run Line (-17.25 Units / -30.13% ROI).
- 17-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -12.1% ROI
- 23-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.47 Units / 9.89% ROI
- 17-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.02 Units / -17.81% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 25-16 against the Run Line (+6.25 Units / 11.19% ROI).
- 26-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.3 Units / 12.81% ROI
- 19-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -7.82% ROI
- 21-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -0.97% ROI
Padres vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Zach Neto (LAA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Jorge Soler (LAA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Padres vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Nolan Schanuel (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Yoan Moncada (LAA) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Luis Rengifo (LAA) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Gavin Sheets (SD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Zach Neto (LAA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Padres vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Gavin Sheets (SD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Jorge Soler (LAA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.6 MPH on fastballs in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks located 73% of his pitches away (827/1,135) vs left-handed batters in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks threw his changeup 66% of the time (376/571) with two-strikes in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has located his pitches away 68% of the time (1,681/2,487) vs left-handed batters since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Randy Vasquez has struck out just 7% (21/290) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.
Randy Vasquez has struck out just 5% (5/92) of left-handed batters he faced this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 21% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a line drive rate of 34% (56/163) against Randy Vasquez in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Randy Vasquez has a strikeout rate of just 28% (80 SO in 287 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Angels were just 39-59 (.398) after a loss in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The Angels were just 11-37 (.229) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Angels are just 8-2 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Angels are just 127-13 (.907) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Padres are 4-10 (.286) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .117.
The Padres are 3-12 (.200) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .083.
The Padres were 93-69 (.574) in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Padres are 119-84 (.586) since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .194 (811 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .283 (1,266 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Angels hitters have struck out in 29% of it’s PA’s this month (12 game{NumGameSuffix}) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have drawn walks in 3% of its PA’s against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting .294 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Padres hitters have struck out in just 18% of it’s PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters have struck out in just 18% of it’s PA’s this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Padres are batting .202 with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers walked 135 of 1,436 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Angels pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Angels pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.2 MPH since the 2023 season (8,839 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers in 2023 — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Padres pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
More MLB Reading:
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