Angels vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 7

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Pittsburgh Pirates' Andrew McCutchen rounds third after hitting a solo home run off starting pitcher Freddy Peralta (51) during the fourth inning of a baseball game in Pittsburgh, Friday, June 30, 2023.
(AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 07, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Pirates are -125 favorites vs the Angels
  • Angels vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Angels / Pirates TV Channel: BSW | SNPT

The Los Angeles Angels (+105) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-125) on Tuesday, May 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Angels are 12-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 18-18 ATS.

Angels vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Angels starting pitcher: Patrick Sandoval 1-5, 5.91 ERA
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Quinn Priester 0-2, 3.31 ERA

Angels vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Angels+1.5 -200O 8 -120+105
Pirates -1.5 +165U 8 +100-125

Angels vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Taylor Ward has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 19 away games (+18.60 Units / 98% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 19 away games (+12.20 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Brandon Drury has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+10.25 Units / 128% ROI)
  • Nolan Schanuel has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.60 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.90 Units / 62% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Oneil Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+15.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Oneil Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.15 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games at home (+9.30 Units / 116% ROI)
  • Edward Olivares has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.15 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Edward Olivares has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 13 games (+7.95 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.72 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+15.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 120 games (+15.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 65 games (+10.67 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.13 Units / 40% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Angels are 16-19 against the Run Line (-11.65 Units / -22.11% ROI).

  • 12-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.45 Units / -26.07% ROI
  • 18-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 0.52% ROI
  • 16-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.8 Units / -9.95% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 18-18 against the Run Line (-2.09 Units / -4.35% ROI).

  • 17-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -7.4% ROI
  • 14-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.8 Units / -22.12% ROI
  • 21-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.98 Units / 15.17% ROI

Pirates vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen (PIT) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Edward Olivares (PIT) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Mickey Moniak (LAA) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650

Pirates vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Edward Olivares (PIT) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Brandon Drury (LAA) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Willie Calhoun (NYY) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Andrew McCutchen (PIT) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Pirates vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Willie Calhoun (NYY) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Connor Joe (PIT) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Edward Olivares (PIT) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Brandon Drury (LAA) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200

Pirates vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Patrick Sandoval (LAA) 5.5 -110 5.5 -120
Quinn Priester (PIT) 4.5 +120 4.5 -155

Patrick Sandoval has walked 43 of 315 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 8% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .500 (9-for-18) against Patrick Sandoval’s inside fastball this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .248 — first Percentile.

Patrick Sandoval has walked 45 of 341 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Patrick Sandoval has allowed an OBP of .390 (308 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .312 — second Percentile.

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 69% (37/54) against Quinn Priester this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 69% (25/36) against Quinn Priester this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 7% (4/54) against Quinn Priester this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (23/36) against Quinn Priester — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Angels are just 73-47 (.608) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.

The Angels are just 38-25 (.603) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .736.

The Angels are just 98-42 (.700) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Angels are just 58-29 (.667) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .787.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Pirates are just 69-16 (.812) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Pirates are just 112-27 (.806) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .867.

The Pirates are just 14-20 (.412) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Pirates are just 24-24 (.500) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .615.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .272 (1,042 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

The Angels have won just 36% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 78%.

The Angels are batting just .239 against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .311 (1,717 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .495 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .311 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .382.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .499 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .609 (978 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .692.

Angels pitchers have walked 38 of 308 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 188 of 1,742 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Angels pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Angels pitchers have an ERA of 5.87 (135.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

Pirates pitchers are throwing just 3.73 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The average home run distance against the Pirates pitchers this season is 407.7 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 396.0

Pirates pitchers have walked 1,291 of 13,836 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Pirates vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
  • Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
  • Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
  • Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
  • JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
  • Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
  • Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
  • Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
  • Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
  • Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
  • Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.