- The Pirates are -135 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Angels / Pirates TV Channel: BSW | SNPT
The Los Angeles Angels (+120) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-140) on Wednesday, May 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Angels are 13-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 18-19 ATS.
Angels vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Angels starting pitcher: Jose Soriano 1-4, 3.81 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Martin Perez 1-2, 3.18 ERA
Angels vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -165 | O 9 -120 | +120 |
| Pirates | -1.5 +140 | U 9 +100 | -140 |
Angels vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Taylor Ward has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 19 away games (+18.60 Units / 98% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 19 away games (+12.20 Units / 64% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+11.25 Units / 105% ROI)
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.30 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jared Triolo has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 19 games (+15.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jared Triolo has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+9.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games at home (+9.30 Units / 116% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 63% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.72 Units / 28% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+15.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 120 games (+15.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 65 games (+10.67 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.13 Units / 40% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 17-19 against the Run Line (-10.65 Units / -19.54% ROI).
- 13-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.25 Units / -22.15% ROI
- 19-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.2 Units / 3% ROI
- 16-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.8 Units / -12.24% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 18-19 against the Run Line (-3.09 Units / -6.31% ROI).
- 17-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.6 Units / -10.3% ROI
- 15-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.8 Units / -19.03% ROI
- 21-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.98 Units / 12.32% ROI
Pirates vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Kevin Pillar (CWS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brandon Drury (LAA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jo Adell (LAA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Pirates vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Kevin Pillar (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Brandon Drury (LAA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Pirates vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kevin Pillar (CWS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brandon Drury (LAA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Pirates vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| José Soriano (LAA) | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +130 |
| Martin Perez (PIT) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .104 (14-for-134) against Jose Soriano with two-strikes since last season — 5th best among AL Relievers; League Avg: .159 — 95th Percentile.
Jose Soriano has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (168/467) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total CB; League Avg: 14% — 99th Percentile.
9 of Jose Soriano’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since last season — tied for 15th most among of 155 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: nan — 90th Percentile.
Jose Soriano has a strikeout rate of 53% (48 SO in 90 PAs) on low non-fastballs since last season — 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 38% — 96th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Martin Perez has located his fastball inside 58% of the time (149/257) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 99th Percentile.
Martin Perez has located his fastball inside 58% of the time (149/257) this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 38% (33/88) against Martin Perez this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 18% (5/27) against Martin Perez — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Angels are just 59-29 (.670) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .786.
The Angels are just 139-13 (.914) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Angels are just 69-13 (.841) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Angels are just 74-9 (.892) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Pirates are just 27-41 (.397) after a road win since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.
The Pirates are just 14-20 (.412) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are 43-8 (.843) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .737.
The Pirates are just 69-16 (.812) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .272 (1,042 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .631 (1,042 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .739.
Angels hitters have 2,543 strikeouts in 9,888 PA’s (26%) against RHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .312 (1,721 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .194 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .255.
The Pirates are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Pirates hitters have 157 strikeouts in 456 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .605 (984 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .693.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 188 of 1,751 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have an ERA of 5.87 (135.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
Angels pitchers have walked 136 of 1,353 batters (10%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Angels pitchers since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against the Pirates pitchers this season is 407.2 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 396.0
Pirates pitchers are throwing just 3.72 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Pirates pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 3,731 times since the 2022 season — 5th most in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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