Angels vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 16

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Tampa Bay Rays' Brandon Lowe runs the bases while scoring from first base on a two-run triple by Randy Arozarena off Baltimore Orioles starting pitcher Kyle Bradish in the third inning of a baseball game, Thursday, Sept. 14, 2023, in Baltimore. Rays' Yandy Diaz also scored on the triple.
(AP Photo/Julio Cortez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 16, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Rays are -150 favorites vs the Angels
  • Angels vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Angels / Rays TV Channel: BSW | BSUN

The Los Angeles Angels (+120) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-145) on Tuesday, April 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Angels are 8-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 8-9 ATS.

Angels vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Angels starting pitcher: Jose Soriano 0-2, 6.31 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Aaron Civale 2-1, 2.12 ERA

Angels vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Angels+1.5 -165O 8 -110+120
Rays -1.5 +140U 8 -110-145

Angels vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+12.85 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Logan O’Hoppe has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+10.25 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Logan O’Hoppe has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 24 away games (+8.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Reid Detmers has hit the Strikeouts Over in his last 6 games (+6.35 Units / 92% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ben Rortvedt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+13.50 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.60 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.15 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Richie Palacios has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+7.65 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.72 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 60 games at home (+17.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 58 games (+10.19 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 57 games (+7.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.26 Units / 16% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Angels are 8-8 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -8.17% ROI).

  • 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 5.11% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.05 Units / -5.93% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units / -5.43% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 8-9 against the Run Line (-0.25 Units / -1.26% ROI).

  • 9-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -8.11% ROI
  • 10-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.1 Units / 11.17% ROI
  • 7-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.1 Units / -22.04% ROI

Rays vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mike Trout (LAA) 0.5 +325 0.5 -450
Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Taylor Ward (LAA) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Brandon Drury (LAA) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Mickey Moniak (LAA) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900

Rays vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony Rendon (LAA) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Taylor Ward (LAA) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Mike Trout (LAA) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Brandon Drury (LAA) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Curtis Mead (TB) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145

Rays vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mike Trout (LAA) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Isaac Paredes (TB) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Taylor Ward (LAA) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Harold Ramirez (TB) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Brandon Drury (LAA) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250

Rays vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
José Soriano (LAA) 4.5 -140 4.5 +105
Aaron Civale (TB) 5.5 -120 5.5 -105

Left-handed batters hit just .147 (10-for-68) against Jose Soriano in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best among in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 96th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .161 (14-for-87) against Jose Soriano since last season — 7th best among in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 92nd Percentile.

Jose Soriano has allowed an OBP of just .180 (111 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 4th best among in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 96th Percentile.

Jose Soriano has a strikeout rate of 59% (65 SO in 111 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best among in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 97th Percentile.

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Aaron Civale has thrown elevated pitches 58% of the time (38/66) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Aaron Civale has a strikeout rate of 53% (9 SO in 17 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 92nd Percentile.

Aaron Civale has thrown elevated pitches 58% of the time (38/66) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.

Aaron Civale has thrown elevated pitches 57% of the time (63/111) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Angels were just 30-23 (.566) when they had 10 or more hits in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.

The Angels are just 19-94 (.168) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.

The Angels were just 49-22 (.690) when they scored 5 or more runs in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .781.

The Angels were just 6-69 (.080) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2023 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Rays are just 5-14 (.263) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .425.

The Rays are 16-6 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .497.

The Rays are just 12-28 (.300) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.

The Rays are 44-14 (.759) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .272 (982 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

Angels hitters have an OBP of .372 (86 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .320.

Angels hitters are slugging .458 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .379.

The Angels are batting just .222 with two outs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.

The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

30% of Rays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .283 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Angels pitchers have walked 168 of 1,574 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 290 of 3,014 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Angels pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Angels pitchers walked 150 of 1,434 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Rays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rays vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
  • Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
  • Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
  • Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
  • Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
  • Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
  • Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
  • Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
  • Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
  • Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
  • Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
  • Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
  • Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.